The 2024 deployment of MethaneSAT, led by the Environmental
Defense Fund (EDF), another by Carbon Mapper, and others, has dramatically
zoomed in scrutiny of oil & gas facility methane emissions. MethaneSAT is
focusing on 12 oil & gas regions in the world and found 1,300 tonnes of
methane released per hour between July 2024 and January 2025, worth about
$200,000 per hour, or presumably, up to $4.8 million per day. This satellite
and a few others mean that the oil & gas industry’s reported emissions can
be measured and compared to actual measurements. Thus, inaccuracies and
underreported emissions can be discovered. One important finding is that the
majority (about 72%) of leaks are small, rather than the “super-emitters” that
have been talked about.
“In the United States, sources emitting less than 100
kilograms of methane per hour now account for most of the total methane
released, according to MethaneSAT’s 2025 findings. These small leaks, scattered
across thousands of wells, add up to a staggering share of emissions—so much so
that ignoring them would mean missing the real problem.”
“The majority of methane is coming from these small,
persistent sources, not just the headline-making super-emitters,” explains a
senior EDF scientist.
Monitoring emissions from
individual sites over time has also revealed that methane releases are
sometimes episodic and unpredictable. The article in Climate Compass notes a
global goal of 0.2% methane emissions by 2030. However, real-time satellite
data reveals emissions rates in the Permian Basin of 1.8% to 2.9%. The
satellites can pinpoint emissions from individual facilities or wells. It gives
researchers hard evidence of each leak.
The Global Methane Pledge,
signed by 158 countries, has a goal of reducing total global anthropogenic
methane emissions by 30% from 2020 levels by 2030. The methane emissions fee
enacted by the Biden administration was expected to go into effect in 2025, but
was repealed by the Trump administration. According to GHGSAT:
“Reports indicate that the EPA is planning to eliminate
long-standing requirements for polluters to collect and report their emissions
of greenhouse gases, including methane.”
I hope that doesn’t happen. Reducing regulatory burdens is
one thing, but I think it is important for companies to do the science and
technology required to collect and report emissions data.
Satellite data for methane
emissions is key for several reasons: 1) comprehensive coverage globally, 2)
frequent monitoring at a daily level, 3) precision and scale – pinpoint
accuracy over wide areas, and 4) scalability. Advancements in satellite tech
have made a method once said to be less accurate than ground-based methods,
much more accurate and applicable to a wide variety of sites. Satellite data is
now becoming widely accepted in LDAR programs and certifications like MiQ. This
also makes company ESG reporting more accurate and defendable.
Are Companies Purposely Hiding Flares?
Evidence suggests that some
companies may be hiding flares by using enclosed flares in which emissions are
harder to detect. Flares usually don’t combust 100% of the methane, but do
typically combust 98% or more. Some companies seem to suggest that the enclosed
flares have close to 100% combustion, compared to open flares, and are
considered emissions-free for all practical purposes. Others, such as refiners
in Norway and Scotland, say enclosed flares are quieter and do not light up the
night, which is preferable to people who live nearby. However, many experts say
there is no difference in combustion rates between open and enclosed flares,
and, in fact, enclosed flares may combust slightly less than open flares. It’s
an open question whether companies are using enclosed flares to avoid detection
from space. It seems like some probably are, while others are not. A May 2024
article in The Guardian shows open flares changing to enclosed flares in
Colorado. An optical image camera detected methane leaks from the enclosed
flare while the company stated they had eliminated all emissions.
AI is Being Used to Aid Methane Leak Detection
Smart algorithms are needed
to better understand and better quantify leaks. It also allows leaks to be
discovered faster and more accurately. The combination of satellite data and AI
is the emerging methodology. According to Climate Compass:
“In 2025, AI systems like MARS-S2L emerged as
game-changers, analyzing Sentinel-2 satellite images to spot methane plumes
faster and more accurately than ever before.”
“The system delivered a 216% improvement in precision
over older methods, drastically reducing false alarms and missed leaks. “AI has
become our microscope,” said a researcher involved in the project.
Accurate Satellite Data Availability Means New Legal and
Reputational Risks
According to the law firm
Herbert Smith, Freehills, and Kramer, the now better accuracy and coverage of
satellite emissions data means increasing legal and reputational risks for
individual companies and facilities. They also note that it can help oil &
gas companies when the data is used to find and fix their leaks faster.
“This greater availability of data amplifies the legal
and reputational pressures on operators at every stage of the value chain
(upstream, midstream, and downstream). Combined with tougher regulations,
including the EU Methane Regulation and the US Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) methane rules for oil and gas operations, and the California climate
disclosure rules, the sector now faces changing levels of scrutiny from
regulators, investors and the public.”
They also point out that
satellite data, while improving, is not foolproof, and there may be disputes
about the origin and quantity of some emissions. The use of drones and aircraft
monitoring can supplement satellite data and resolve such disputes. If natural
gas is certified as responsibly sourced and found to be leaking from sites at
higher rates, then that can lead to disputes. Shareholder activism may be
enacted in such cases to hold companies to account. Discrepancies between
reported and observed emissions can also have reputational effects for
companies.
“Given the growing prevalence of third-party satellite
data, it is prudent to periodically review publicly available imagery of one's
assets. Early detection of discrepancies allows for timely investigations and
repair work, demonstrating a proactive stance if questioned by authorities or
stakeholders.”
“To further provide confidence in climate disclosures,
many firms also seek independent third-party assurance for their climate
reports, particularly in relation to emissions data.”
Greater Transparency is Now the Norm for All
Finally, they note that the
greater transparency provided by third-party satellite data is now the norm for
all companies, which can all be scrutinized.
“For industry leaders, the benefits of proactive
compliance can be substantial. By integrating robust monitoring technologies,
refining contractual arrangements and embedding climate governance at the
highest levels, companies stand a better chance of improving operational
practices, driving financial benefit, safeguarding value, avoiding lawsuits,
preserving their reputations and maintaining stable access to key markets. The
alternative risks fines, legal actions and loss of trust among stakeholders.”
References:
Satellite
Images Reveal Hidden Methane Leaks the Industry Didn’t Disclose. Jeff Blaumberg.
Climate Compass. June 11, 2025. Satellite
Images Reveal Hidden Methane Leaks the Industry Didn’t Disclose
How
Satellite Monitoring Has Become the Gold Standard for Methane Detection. Jitha
James. GHG Sat. April 23, 2025. How
Satellite Monitoring Has Become the Gold Standard for Methane Detection -
GHGSat
Satellite
data and climate regulations in oil & gas: Navigating new legal and
reputational risks. Lewis McDonald, Charlie Morgan, Louise Barber, Jannis Bille
and Andrew Otis. Herbert Smith, Freehills, Kramer. April 4, 2025. Satellite
data and climate regulations in oil & gas: Navigating new legal and
reputational risks | Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer | Global law firm
Methane
emissions from gas flaring being hidden from satellite monitors: Use of
enclosed combustors leaves regulators heavily reliant on oil and gas companies’
own flaring data. Tom Brown and Christina Last. The Guardian. May 2, 2024. Methane
emissions from gas flaring being hidden from satellite monitors | Climate
crisis | The Guardian
No comments:
Post a Comment