I certainly agree with the Trump camp that we need to put pressure on Cuba to reform and cooperate with international norms, although that has not happened since the 1959 revolution that put Fidel Castro in power. In one sense, Cuba is a satellite state of the former USSR and now a satellite state of the USSR’s heir, Russia. However, it is close enough to the U.S., and we can exert enough leverage to keep it from being a problem. Sure, regime change would be the best outcome for the country and particularly for its people, but that is probably too complicated at the moment. Cuba has also meddled in Venezuela. The U.S has successfully recued that meddling as the interim government announced that the Cuban security apparatus favored by Maduro is leaving the country.
It is unclear what the current
U.S. oil embargo will achieve. It may spur the Cuban government to cooperate
and make changes, but many are doubtful. It has already affected trade and
tourism as fuel shortages affect the country. I was a bit annoyed to hear that
the oil supplied freely to Cuba from Venezuela, or rather, in exchange for that
security apparatus, was more than the country needed, and so they sold it to
other buyers. They should have built more storage and stored more of it. Mexico
has been supplying oil to Cuba for years as a humanitarian gesture, but stopped
recently at the request of the U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is
reportedly negotiating with the Cuban government, but not much is known about
those negotiations.
Cuba is also a sore spot in any
notion of controlling the hemisphere via the Monroe Doctrine, or as the newly
termed 'Donroe Doctrine.' Cuba is basically a bad actor aligned with our
adversaries and the world’s other bad actors, particularly Russia, but also
Iran and Venezuela. The U.S. has strongly disrupted ghost fleet oil trade in
the Caribbean, where sanctioned Russian, Venezuelan, and Iranian crude and
diluent were flowing freely. I praise that effort. We should not tolerate it at
all.
The latest potential confrontation
in the region involves a ghost fleet tanker currently off the East Coast of
the U.S., which is thought to be bound for Cuba with Russian oil. I expect the
U.S. will intercept and interdict it. It is exhibiting the usual tricks to
disguise its position, country of origin, destination, and the oil was loaded
in a ship-to-ship transfer.
The UN recently condemned the U.S.
executive order imposing a fuel blockade on Cuba.
“The U.S. executive order imposing a fuel blockade on
Cuba is a serious violation of international law and a grave threat to a
democratic and equitable international order,” the experts said.
“It is an extreme form of unilateral economic coercion
with extraterritorial effects, through which the United States seeks to exert
coercion on the sovereign state of Cuba and compel other sovereign third States
to alter their lawful commercial relations, under threat of punitive trade
measures,” they said.
I think that statement goes a
little too far, as does the following one.
“There is no right under international law to impose
economic penalties on third States for engaging in lawful trade with another
sovereign country,” the experts said.
I would argue that deliveries of
internationally sanctioned oil cargoes do not constitute “lawful trade.”
“A democratic international order cannot be reconciled
with practices whereby one State claims the authority to dictate the internal
policies and economic relations of others through threats and coercion,” the
experts said.
Here, I would argue by asking,
“Are not sanctions a method of 'dictating economic relations of others through
threats and coercion'?
Although I disagree with the UN’s
wording above, I agree with them about it being a humanitarian issue that needs
to be addressed. We should not punish a population for the actions of its
government. The UN goes on to say that energy is a basic requirement for many
things: electricity, sanitation, transportation, communications, etc. The Trump
doctrine of seemingly using every bit of real, imagined, legal, and illegal
leverage is probably going too far in this case. The country is in economic
despair and has been beset with power outages for years. People need to
refrigerate their food and make money to survive. I really think we should
allow Mexico to resume its oil shipments to Cuba. We certainly don’t want
Russian oil delivered. Well. It looks like the U.S. will allow Venezuelan oil
to be delivered to Cuba, so that is good. That also suggests that the U.S. will
definitely stop the Russian oil from being delivered, and I hope that does
happen.
AFP reports:
The Treasury Department said it would allow
"transactions that support the Cuban people" that include Venezuelan
oil for "commercial and humanitarian use."
“To qualify, the exports would need to go through
private businesses and not the vast government or military apparatus in the
communist state.”
Caribbean leaders were concerned
that a continued blockade would trigger migration from the country and
contribute to destabilizing the region.
Cuba is a communist dictatorship
that is allied to U.S. adversaries. It is also very close to the U.S. Thus, it
does need to be watched closely. It really is a shame that they can’t evolve
enough to have a democratically elected government and join the international
community.
References:
Russian
‘dark fleet’ tanker believed to be delivering oil to Cuba, detected off US
coast amid Trump ban. Emma Bussey. Fox News. February 24, 2026. Russian
‘dark fleet’ tanker believed to be delivering oil to Cuba, detected off US
coast amid Trump ban
UN
experts condemn US executive order imposing fuel blockade on Cuba. United
Nations. Press Release. 12 February 2026. UN
experts condemn US executive order imposing fuel blockade on Cuba | OHCHR
US
eases Venezuela oil ban to Cuba as crisis alarms Caribbean. AFP. February 25,
2026. US
eases Venezuela oil ban to Cuba as crisis alarms Caribbean



























