Blog Archive

Sunday, July 26, 2026

Ohio Residents Struggle to Afford Electricity: 7.7% of Customers Have Power Disconnected In Past Year Due to Non-Payment Amid 53% (Over Five Years) Rise in Power Costs


    

     As reported by Elizabeth Smith in The Cool Down and Canary Media, data for the year ending on May 31 showed that 345,000 power customers in Ohio, both residents and businesses, had their power shut off due to non-payment of power bills. 7.7% of power customers were shut off. Since residences often have more than one person, the cutoffs likely affected around a million people, about 9% of the people living in the state, or nearly one in ten. That number is pretty shocking. The power company typically reconnects people after their outstanding bills have been paid. Nonetheless, it is a pretty high number.

     Ohio customers have had a 53% increase in power costs since 2021. In contrast, the national average rise in power costs was 32%. The amount owed averaged about $558, up from an average of $495. AEP had the highest rate of shutoffs, with 15% of customers having their power shutoff due to non-payment at some point in the year. That number is very high and is more than one in seven power customers. I am an AEP Ohio customer, so I know there have been real cost increases and new increases are still occurring. I know someone who had their power shut off due to non-payment of a deposit that was required for service, but it was restored after they paid. I was pretty ticked off a little over 15 years ago when I used to pay my power bill automatically with my credit card, and when I got a new card and card number due to suspicious activity and charges, I forgot to update my credit card number for the power company. I immediately paid them after the payment wasn’t processed, but they still made me send them a physical check every month for one year. I felt like that was a totally unnecessary punishment for something that was a simple, unintended oversight. I hope they don’t have such a policy anymore.




     Previous recent year shutoff rates ranged from 6 to 7%, so it was not a massive increase, but still significant. According to Canary Media:

Families are put in an extremely vulnerable position when electric utilities shut off their electricity for a debt,” said Shelby Green, a research and communications manager with the Energy and Policy Institute, a national watchdog group that promotes clean energy. Among other things, no electricity typically means no ability to cool or heat homes, refrigerate food, and turn lights on at night.

Turning off someone’s power is always a last resort, and we do not disconnect customers during extreme weather,” like heat waves, said an AEP spokesperson via email. The person did not provide their name or answer Canary Media’s question about why the company’s disconnection rate was so high compared with those of Ohio’s other regulated electric utilities.

Our analysis has shown that areas with high poverty rates do not always align with areas experiencing the highest number of disconnections, making local data important,” explained Ohio Consumers’ Counsel Maureen Willis. “This information helps OCC identify trends, target concerns, and advocate for solutions that reduce disconnections and keep consumers connected to essential electric service.”

     High-poverty areas in the cities of Columbus and Canton had the highest disconnection rates. Utility First Energy noted that they are implementing "more flexible payment plans, increased outreach to connect people with assistance, coordination with state and local programs, and expanded protections for vulnerable customers."

     I am guessing many people are not very educated on how to reduce power costs and make their home energy more efficient. Energy efficiency measures like insulating hot water tanks, improving home insulation, using electric space heaters less, heating smaller spaces, and sealing off air leaks can help.

     The article in The Cool Down, citing a report by the Energy & Policy Institute, points out that AEP’s CEO was paid $36 million last year, by far the highest among utility CEOs, and the company has been posting good profits. That report also notes that CEO and executive pay have seen significant increases in the past few years.

 


References:

 

In Ohio, electric bills rose 53%, 345,000 lost power, and utilities still posted big profits. Elizabeth Smith. The Cool Down. July 18, 2026. In Ohio, electric bills rose 53%, 345,000 lost power, and utilities still posted big profits

More Ohioans are getting their power shut off as energy costs surge: Recent data reveals an uptick in households losing power because of unpaid utility bills — yet another sign of the ongoing national affordability crisis. Kathiann M. Kowalski. Canary Media. July 14, 2026. More Ohioans are getting their power shut off as… | Canary Media

Utility CEO pay surges amid higher profits, customer struggles. Jonathan Kim. Energy & Policy Institute. April 21, 2026. Utility CEO pay surges amid higher profits, customer struggles - Energy and Policy Institute

 

 

 

 

 

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Directing Thermal Energy: New Research with Magneto-Optical Materials and a Phase-Change Material Called GST Can Direct Heat


      An international research team led by Professor Koichi Okamoto and Dr. Shunsuke Murai from Osaka Metropolitan University's Graduate School of Engineering utilized magneto-optical materials combined with a phase-change material called GST to demonstrate that heat energy can be directed. The device was able to break Lorentz reciprocity. 




     Science X staff at Phys.org explain:

Normally, a material absorbs and emits heat in a linked way: A surface that absorbs heat well at a certain wavelength and direction will also emit heat in the same way. This fundamental relationship, known as reciprocity, limits the ability to independently control heat absorption and heat emission.”

But if absorption and emission could be separated, engineers could design devices that absorb heat from one direction while emitting it in another. By "steering" thermal energy, they could create more efficient thermal management, energy conversion, infrared sensing and thermal communication technologies.”

     The team created a device that can control the direction of heat radiation, switch the effect on and off, and remember its state even when the power is removed, essentially allowing heat to be programmed like data in a microchip.

"We made heat radiation behave in a smarter way," Murai explained. "Achieving these capabilities in a working model could enable a new generation of efficient infrared emitters, thermal-energy devices, sensors and photonic memory technologies."

     The new device is a big improvement over previous devices, having overcome some significant obstacles.

"Our ultimate goal is to develop compact devices that can actively control heat radiation, much like electronic circuits control the flow of electricity," Okamoto said. "Such devices could be used in smarter infrared sensors, more efficient energy systems and new types of photonic memory that store information using light and heat instead of electrical charges."

     The research was published in the journal Laser & Photonics Reviews.

 





References:

 

Researchers break a fundamental rule to create a new concept: Heat that can be directed and 'programmed'. Science X staff. Phys.org. July 7, 2026. Researchers break a fundamental rule to create a new concept: Heat that can be directed and 'programmed'

Reconfigurable Giant Nonreciprocity at Near-Normal Incidence via Phase-Change Magneto-Optical Metagratings. Ye Ming Qing, Yi Shen, Jun Wu, Shunsuke Murai, Zhaogang Dong, and Koichi Okamoto. Laser & Photonics Review. Vol. 20. No. 14. July 22, 2026. Reconfigurable Giant Nonreciprocity at Near‐Normal Incidence via Phase‐Change Magneto‐Optical Metagratings - Qing - Laser & Photonics Reviews - Wiley Online Library

Friday, July 24, 2026

PJM and the FERC Conference to Consider Reforms to Increase Transparency and Independence, and FERC Promotes ‘Grid-Enhancing Technology’ Incentives


The FERC Conference and Proposed PJM Reforms

     DOE officials are calling for reforms that add more independence and more transparency for the PJM Interconnection. Rising power demand associated with data centers is driving the call for reforms. PJM’s system is the largest in the country, covers 67 million Americans, and has the world’s biggest concentration of data centers. It has been beset by reliability and blackout worries and rising power prices.

     White House DOE officials, state governments, and power industry executives recently convened at a technical conference held by the FERC. One proposal would give PJM's board of managers more independence from its voting members and require decisions by the board to be made public.

"We want the board to not be shrouded in mystery or secrecy. We want to know what's going on and we want the responsibilities to be clearly outlined," U.S. Deputy Secretary of Energy James Danly said at the conference.”




     PJM has hundreds of members, including transmission owners and power plant operators, who vote on market rules, and the board approves changes in a multilayered process. DOE wants to make that process more public. There is also a concern with board members who serve three-year terms being ousted if they cast unpopular votes.

"PJM needs an independent, transparent board that can take action and make tough decisions without fear of being fired after every board meeting," said Peter Lake, senior director, power at the White House's National Energy Dominance Council.

     According to Reuters:

Proposed solutions to that retention dilemma included extending the terms of PJM board members. PJM's new CEO David Mills, when asked by FERC commissioners for a reasonable new term period, suggested six to nine years, at which point the member would term out.”

FERC commissioners also discussed the possibility of giving states, including governors, in PJM more decision-making power in the grid. While governors have political influence over PJM that includes capping power prices in the latest power auctions held by the grid operator, they do not have voting membership.”

     PJM has also proposed some of its own reforms. Lake, who chaired the Public Utility Commission of Texas following a deadly and widespread grid failure in the state following 2021 Winter Storm Uri, sees PJM as being in a similar position to ERCOT before that event occurred.

"The root cause of that failure was a failed governance structure and a failed stakeholder process, the same ills that harm PJM today," he said.

 

‘Grid-Enhancing Technology’ (GET): FERC Wants More GETs Adoption

     The FERC recently formed a task force on grid-enhancing technologies (GETs) in order to support them, with possible incentives on the table, FERC Chairman Laura Swett noted. Utilities have begun using GETs, which can save money. These include dynamic line ratings, advanced power flow controllers, and high-performance conductors. According to Utility Dive’s Ethan Howland:

The Federal Power Act bars FERC from requiring utilities to use GETs, but the agency can direct transmission owners to analyze them, which can show what the most economic option is when considering new transmission infrastructure, according to Swett.”

     Adding GETs is currently affordable for utilities, but that may change in the future as prices for them are expected to rise. Therefore, FERC wants to nudge them to do so now.

We are optimistic that people will be able to coalesce around identifying what should change in the market by the end of tomorrow and the comments filed after, so that we can give clearer direction,” Swett said.

Success to me looks like a PJM in the near future that is able to propose solutions quickly, with some type of member support that is clear, and to make those filings and excellent filings at FERC, so that we can move expediently to have this market serve the country efficiently,” Swett said.

     Some, like Senator Mike Lee, R-Utah, called for more competition in transmission projects. He said that despite its 15-year-old ‘Order 1000’ directing that competition, it has not materialized enough. FERC commissioner Judy Chang noted:

We should find additional efficiencies through competition where it’s possible,” she said. “The backbone transmission system is extremely important in integrating the large loads that we’re seeing and the large generation that we’re adding to the system, and to bring down the cost to all consumers requires competition.”

     Swett noted FERC’s “show cause” orders to major grid operators on how they integrate data centers and other large loads to the grid. These were issued in June. One order requires fast action on modernizing transmission services and interconnection study processes.

This will save our consumers a lot of money, and with our instructions, they are now … forced to consider advanced transmission technologies in their study processes, and also to study load that may appear near generation, which will reduce the amount of transmission build that is necessary to get the load online,” Swett said.

     FERC also wasn’t to see more accountability in getting more generation built.

FERC has no jurisdiction over generation, but because we have directed each market to come back to us with reporting on what they intend to do, how to handle this generation cliff that we are standing on as a nation, that is forcing thought and hopefully action,” Swett said.

 

    

References:

 

Transparency and independence of biggest US power grid in focus as FERC mulls major reforms. Laila Kearney. Reuters. July 23, 2026. Transparency and independence of biggest US power grid in focus as FERC mulls major reforms

FERC eyes ‘grid-enhancing technology’ incentives: Chairman Swett. Ethan Howland. Utility Dive. July 23, 2026. FERC eyes ‘grid-enhancing technology’ incentives: Chairman Swett | Utility Dive

Thursday, July 23, 2026

World’s First 100% Hydrogen Marine Engine is In Development and Ready for Deployment

 

     BeHydro, a partnership between the Anglo Belgian Corporation and Compagnie Maritime Belge, is developing the world’s first 100% hydrogen marine engine. According to Slash Gear:

Lloyd's Register has awarded BeHydro's all-hydrogen, spark-ignited marine engine a Type Approval Certificate. According to Lloyd's Register, this means that the engine meets the necessary safety, performance, and reliability standards for use in marine settings. In other words, the engine is ready to safely hit the water as an alternative engine type for industrial shipping.”




     Hydrogen is commonly used in hybrid engines in combination with diesel and other hydrocarbons. I recently reported on JCB’s 100% hydrogen internal combustion engine, which was recently approved for sale in the E.U. and the U.S.

BeHydro's hydrogen engines generate between 1,000 and 2,670 kilowatts, depending on the variant, making them viable as primary engines or auxiliary power sources aboard fossil-fuel vessels. While diesel-powered marine engines can still deliver significantly more power, research into hydrogen engines continues to show promise, with a record-setting hydrogen engine even delivering diesel-like performance with up to 60% efficiency.”     

     Widespread adoption of hydrogen as a marine fuel is likely many years away, as there is a lack of refueling facilities and other infrastructure. Hydrogen is difficult to store and transport. It also has a significantly lower energy density than fossil fuels, so higher volumes are required.  




   




References:

 

World's first 100% hydrogen marine engine is one step closer to being ready for use. Shane O'Neill. Slash Gear. June 24, 2026. World's first 100% hydrogen marine engine is one step closer to being ready for use

Lloyd’s Register grants first class approval for 100% hydrogen marine engine. BeHydro. June 15, 2026. Lloyd’s Register grants first class approval for 100%… | BeHydro

Fertilizer Spill into Tributary of the Maumee River in Northwest Ohio Kills Estimated 20,000 Fish

 

      In early July it was observed that parts of the Maumee River in Henry County, Ohio were turning a reddish color.  The Ohio Department of Natural Resources put out a statement on July 13 that 11 miles of the river were affected, with an estimated 18,000 to 20,000 fish killed. The fish range from 3-inch sunfish to carp over three feet long. It was found that a spill of liquid fertilizer was the cause.  28% Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN) liquid fertilizer spilled into Huston Creek and then flowed into the Maumee River.

     Tests of the river water for ammonia in the town of Napoleon showed that it was at a level still safe for humans. However, as a precaution, the town is not drawing water from the river temporarily.




The Ohio Environmental Protection Agency issued violations to Triway Nitrogen and Farmers Elevator Associates for the fertilizer spill and required the businesses to assist with cleanup actions and take steps to prevent future contamination, WTVG reported. Both are located near the Huston Creek, which flows into the Maumee River.”







     The fish were killed by oxygen depletion when ammonia from the fertilizer reacted in the water, consuming dissolved oxygen and basically suffocating the fish.




     The highest amounts of ammonia recorded in the Maumee River were 2.8 ppm, far below the 50 ppm considered the threshold for human harm.

     The Ohio EPA is leading the cleanup efforts. Heavy rainfall has helped to dilute the spill and reduce further threats to aquatic wildlife. The river water is considered safe for human recreation.    

     Acting Napoleon City Manager Chad Lulfs said the city was notified Saturday after the fertilizer reached the river.

"It inundated the creek and the earthen dams that were present, washed out, and it was released into the river," Lulfs said. "Saturday, I was notified by our fire chief of the incident and that we had a large number of fish that had been killed in the river."

"We took random grab samples. We tested those samples. The threshold that can be an irritant to human skin, an irritant to eyes, is 50 parts per million," Lulfs said. "Of all the samples we took, the highest test we got was 2.8 parts per million, so it didn't represent an issue for those out on the river for recreational purposes."

"The Ohio EPA says the environmental contractor has since reinstalled containment points and restarted aeration in the creek to capture any remaining fertilizer. The agency says cleanup efforts are continuing, while the heavy rainfall also helped dilute the ammonia in the water, significantly reducing its concentration.

    

 

References:

 

Fertilizer spill kills up to 20,000 fish in Maumee River, reports say. Bailey Gallion, Columbus Dispatch. July 15, 2026. Fertilizer spill kills up to 20,000 fish in Maumee River, reports say

Ohio officials: Up to 20,000 fish killed after fertilizer spill reaches Maumee River: The city of Napoleon says drinking water remains safe as cleanup continues with no timeline for completion. Anthony DiFilippo. WTOL11. July 13, 2026. Ohio officials: Up to 20,000 fish killed after fertilizer spill reaches Maumee River | wtol.com

 

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

The Humanizing and Democratizing Powers of Science: Insights from Carl Sagan, George Sarton, and Others



 Insights from Carl Sagan and Maria Popova

     Several important minds of the past recognized the humanizing and democratizing effects of science. Bertrand Russell wrote in 1926: “Without science, democracy is impossible.” Carl Sagan, in his last book in 1996, ‘The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark,’ wrote about the humanizing powers of science and its importance to democracy. According to Maria Popova, in a 2015 article in The Marginalian, this book also discussed “how applying the scientific way of thinking to everyday life refines our intellectual and moral integrity.” I read Sagan’s 1977 thought-provoking book on the evolution of intelligence, ‘The Dragons of Eden,’ in the 80s before I decided on a science major in college.

     Humans are faced with questions we can’t answer, and uncertainty is always present. Popova quotes Sagan from the Demon-Haunted World:

Avoidable human misery is more often caused not so much by stupidity as by ignorance, particularly our ignorance about ourselves… Whenever our ethnic or national prejudices are aroused, in times of scarcity, during challenges to national self-esteem or nerve, when we agonize about our diminished cosmic place and purpose, or when fanaticism is bubbling up around us — then, habits of thought familiar from ages past reach for the controls.”




     The implications are simply that science, however imperfect, is the best tool we have to make sincere attempts to address those difficult and impossible questions. In that sense, says Sagan, science is like democracy, which is also imperfect, but also the best tool we have. Thus, one could say that science and democracy are the best tools we have for bettering ourselves, but they are not without some flaws. They are tools that lead us to decisions.

     Sagan from the Demon-Haunted World:

The scientific way of thinking is at once imaginative and disciplined. This is central to its success. Science invites us to let the facts in, even when they don’t conform to our preconceptions. It counsels us to carry alternative hypotheses in our heads and see which best fit the facts. It urges on us a delicate balance between no-holds-barred openness to new ideas, however heretical, and the most rigorous skeptical scrutiny of everything — new ideas and established wisdom. This kind of thinking is also an essential tool for a democracy in an age of change.”

     Sagan asserted that absolute certainty is elusive, so we must settle instead for small, incremental improvements in our understanding of many subjects. He called this “an asymptotic approach to the Universe.” He opined that uncertainty could only be reduced, not eliminated, noting:  

The error bar is a pervasive, visible self-assessment of the reliability of our knowledge.”

     He emphasized that science was self-correcting, which makes it more or less immune to the influence of most dogmas, as adherence to the method is its primary feature. This makes science humble, he said. All scientists know they are sometimes wrong in their hoped-for conclusions. To have humility is to always be fair, regardless of the effects. In science, one must always adhere to the method, regardless of the effects. Even well-established science sometimes has to be corrected in the light of new information. Thus, science is always being refined. Disproving established beliefs and valid criticism are encouraged in science.  

     Sagan from the Demon-Haunted World:

Science is a way to call the bluff of those who only pretend to knowledge. It is a bulwark against mysticism, against superstition, against religion misapplied to where it has no business being. If we’re true to its values, it can tell us when we’re being lied to. It provides a mid-course correction to our mistakes.”

 

Insights from ‘Democratizing Science’ by Paola Mattei

     Science was questioned and mangled in many ways during the COVID pandemic. Anti-science forces came to the forefront amid backlash against science. The 2023 book, ‘Democratizing Science,’ by Paola Mattei, explores public trust and public engagement of science. This includes backlash against science and public participation in science, such as citizen science. I am in favor of citizen science in general. However, some manifestations of it have been biased, such as groups of biased environmentalists doing amateurish citizen science for the sole purpose of catching industry pollution occurrences. According to the book’s introduction, which is all I have read, it:

“…explores the perils of adopting a ‘populist’ approach to science policy not driven by intellectual curiosity…”

     I think that COVID showed the difficulty in translating science into policy. Public trust is science has been eroded somewhat in what they call the post-truth society. The proliferation of fake health news, quack cures, and distrust in basic science is perhaps encompassed in the Trump administration’s appointment of cabinet members who are not qualified in science. RFK Jr is perhaps the prime example. People do have a right to believe what they want, regardless of what science says. Perhaps the issue is how science could possibly impede that human right to believe what one wants. What makes these issues perhaps more difficult is that there is no shortage of scientists, those trained in science, who reject mainstream science and embrace much less likely viewpoints.

In Western liberal democracies, we are experiencing a significant decline in trust in scientific authorities. The attacks against science are organized by groups that advance their own cultural domains and systems of beliefs, such as religious groups, industry groups (challenging the existence of climate change, for instance) and social movements (for example, the movement against the use of pasteurized milk in the United States embraced by famous public figures). These groups hold views against scientific knowledge and defend their beliefs as sacred ideologies that are not subject to analytical and critical questioning.”

     The book is Euro-focused and concerned with educational systems and the influence of populism, particularly European radical right populism, which has been growing in recent years. Here in the U.S. and to some extent in Europe as well, there is also radical left populism. The notion of adopting draconian rules against carbon emissions promoted by the radical left is one possible implication. On the right, there is the notion of doing the opposite, or promoting draconian rules against regulating emissions in any way. Thus, the problem of populism is basically one of adopting extremist views, whether extreme left or extreme right.

 

Insights from George Sarton and Alison Wylie About Humanizing Science

     An October 2022 paper in the Journal of Canadian Philosophy by Alison Wylie, ‘Humanizing Science and Philosophy of Science: George Sarton, Contextualist Philosophies of Science, and the Indigenous/Science Project,’ explores the ideas of George Sarton from 1924. Sarton called science “our greatest treasure,” but also warned that it should be humanized to keep it from doing more harm than good. He emphasized that science was dynamic and ever-changing, noting that “fixed knowledge is dead knowledge.” Perhaps Thomas Kuhn exemplified this best in his early 1960s book, ‘The Structure of Scientific Revolutions,’ which argued that paradigm changes in science are often slow, as new knowledge must not only replace old knowledge but also entrenched views about that old knowledge. Sarton also noted that science is a collective enterprise as well as a social one.

In short, the fierce commitment to rigorous inquiry that Sarton prized above all else must be “tempered by … humility and charity,” a “broadness of outlook and boundless generosity




     The paper focuses mainly on archaeology and its impact on and need for engagement with indigenous populations. Sarton, like Sagan after him, emphasized the importance of humility in science. Kuhn did as well in addressing the problem of entrenched views in developing consensus. One must be humble in conceding that new knowledge can replace established knowledge. In the paper’s conclusion, Wylie notes the following:

Sarton advocated for the sciences: that we learn from “the thoughts and ideas of other people,” especially critical voices within philosophy and those whose ways of investigating and understanding the natural and social world diverge from our own, and that we attend to values and interests that have typically not been addressed by scientific inquiry.”

 

Insights from ‘Why Democracies Need Science’ by Harry Collins and Robert Evans

     In a 2017 book by Harry Collins and Robert Evans, ‘Why Democracies Need Science,’ the authors put forth an idea they call “elective modernism,” explore the continuity of science (even when new ideas are adopted, many older ideas remain a part of the explanation), and the morality of science. It also explores the nexus of science and policy and the value of expertise. They write:

The attacks on science come from many sources. From the outside, science is beset by post-modernist analysis that sees no truth, only ‘accounts’; it is beset by environmentalist critiques that see science as an instrument of ecological disaster; and it is beset by political regimes that see value only in economic terms, or, in America, can make political capital by contrasting science unfavourably with religion.”

Most social analysts think that democracy needs protecting against scientific and technological experts; we argue that scientific and technical experts have the potential to protect democracy!

     In considering the morality of science, we should consider for whom the science is being conducted. Nazi scientists had aims in line with their fascist government, and similar governments we may consider immoral also have scientists working to their benefit.

     The authors divide the sociological study of science into three waves. Wave 1, from the early twentieth century to the early 1960s, involved great faith in the scientific method. Wave 2 coincides with the publishing of Kuhn’s influential book, which showed that paradigms in science were based not only on sheer truth but also on consensus. It was an acknowledgement that there are social contexts to scientific findings. Wave 2 also revealed that expert advice depends on social assumptions. This, they say:

“…led to arguments in favour of the democratization of science, and of expertise more generally, in order that the interests and priorities that inevitably coloured expert advice would better reflect the concerns of the wider society.”

     While Wave 2 explored the pitfalls of technocracy, Wave 3 returns to technocracy, or rule by experts, but the definition of expert changes from those with specialized knowledge to a more inclusive definition involving different kinds of expertise. They note society-wide ubiquitous expertise, specialized expertise, and meta-expertise as types and divide specialized expertise into interactional expertise and contributory expertise. 




     They note that experience-based people who are not experts, but who are key stakeholders in the decisions made by experts, should have some influence over those decisions, as Wave 2 seems to advise. They divide Wave 3 into a technical phase and a political phase. For the technical phase, they note:

“…the normative claim is that technical advice should be provided in such a way as to minimize the effect of political bias and influence. This means that technical advisors should not exaggerate the certainty or impact of their work in order to influence the political decision, and that decision-makers should not demand that engineers and scientists draw firm conclusions when this cannot be done.”

     The political phase is how the ideas of science experts are translated into policy.




The aim of Wave Three of science studies is to preserve the idea of expertise as specialist knowledge and to find a better way of analysing and managing the trade-offs between expert authority and democratic accountability.”

     The authors’ idea of elective modernism seems to have to do with choosing the experts over the non-experts, even though the experts will sometimes be wrong.

It remains the case even though we know that there will be occasions when the conclusions of the person who has observed will turn out to be less accurate than the view of the person who has not observed – the person with the tea leaves. In spite of that possibility, the elective modernist prefers the view of the person who has observed. And “the elective modernist proper has to cleave to that preference without justifying it by reference to the successfulness of observation over other methods of knowing.” Not only is this the way of elective modernism, but it is also more robust than relying on success as a criterion: for all the reasons given for why observation is flawed and unreliable, there will be instances when observation turns out not to be more successful than other methods; but in these circumstances, elective modernism will be unaffected.”

          They use the examples of corroboration and falsification to promote their idea of elective modernism. While corroboration has been maligned by scientists showing that simply replicating the same experiment does not prove something if the experiment itself is somehow flawed, they note that replication is still a very good means in science to validate. Falsification is also not perfect, as it sometimes can be circumvented, as Karl Popper’s student showed. Popper was the originator of falsificationism. However, corroboration and falsification remain the best ways to verify scientific results.

 

Insights from New Scientist

     New Scientist published a very short article a few months ago that illustrates that there are other methods of knowing aside from science that are sometimes just as valid. They give an example of the philosophical implications of quantum physics. As Sagan and others noted, there are many questions that science cannot currently answer. Some can be approached by other means, such as philosophical inquiry. A few years back, I read Stephen Hawking’s last book, ‘Brief Answers to the Big Questions,’ in which he opined about those difficult-to-answer questions. He put forth some really interesting ideas, but did not really answer those questions to my satisfaction. This simply illustrates that science can’t answer everything. The article notes:

But in allowing philosophy into the lab, we must not let it be accompanied by dogma or muscle out evidence and the scientific method. A recent case that perhaps went too far is the idea that trees share resources via a "wood wide web". As ecologist Suzanne Simard explains, the backlash to her promoting this idea came from people feeling she had overreached on what the science can say.”

The lesson, though, is not to dismiss philosophy – as the calculating quantum physicists did – but instead to see it as another tool in the scientific toolbox. Science doesn't have a monopoly on good ideas, and as long as it can be justified in evidence, knowledge from other disciplines should be welcomed.”  

 

My Conclusion

     I believe that science and democracy are two of the most important human endeavors. Science is the best means we have of knowing things, and democracy is the best means we have of creating just societies. Both were created by humans, and neither is perfect. In terms of secularist belief, one could say that I believe in science and democracy. I think that they are two of humanity’s greatest achievements.

 

 

References:

 

Carl Sagan on Humility, Science as a Tool of Democracy, and the Value of Uncertainty. Maria Popova. The Marginalian. November 9, 2015. Carl Sagan on Humility, Science as a Tool of Democracy, and the Value of Uncertainty – The Marginalian

Humanizing Science and Philosophy of Science: George Sarton, Contextualist Philosophies of Science, and the Indigenous/Science Project. Alison Wylie. Published online by Cambridge University Press, Canadian Journal of Philosophy. 20 October 2022. Humanizing Science and Philosophy of Science: George Sarton, Contextualist Philosophies of Science, and the Indigenous/Science Project | Canadian Journal of Philosophy | Cambridge Core

Introduction: Science and Democracy, Introduction of the book, ‘Democratizing Science.’ Paola Mattei. September 2023. Introduction_Science_and_Democracy.pdf

Why Democracies Need Science. Harry Collins and Robert Evans. Polity Press. 2017. Why Democracies Need Science

Science doesn’t have a monopoly on good ideas. New Scientist, May 2026. Science doesn't have a monopoly on good ideas

 

Monday, July 20, 2026

Syntholene Energy’s Synthetic Sustainable Aviation Fuel: Iceland Project Aims to Lower Costs with Geothermally Integrated Production and Process Heat


     While e-fuels, or synthetic fuels, are a bonified method of decarbonization, like many other decarbonization methods, they suffer from high costs compared to current practices. One company hopes to decrease costs by employing high-temperature electrolysis with geothermal heat and power.

     Dan Sutton, CEO of sustainable aviation fuel production company Syntholene Energy, presented a webinar with Graham Bain for Enverus’s Innovation Underground. A summary of the webinar is given below.

     Sutton noted that low-cost industrial heat is a very valuable commodity. Generating hydrogen with solid oxide electrolyzers relies on electricity and can be accelerated by industrial heat. That heat is provided via hot geothermal. This makes the process more economical, especially in certain places (such as Iceland) where geothermal is bot hot and at shallow depths. Here it can significantly outcompete traditional electrolysis. Power-to-liquids have been around for a long time but are very expensive. Coal and gas had been the feedstocks previously. Synthetic e-fuels such as sustainable aviation fuel (e-SAF) are made from H2 and CO2.  They can be powered with renewable energy, which lowers carbon footprint. Geothermal is both renewable and provides heat, which brings down hydrogen production costs.

     Syntholene began 10-12 years ago. High-temperature e-SAF is the business. Geothermal has been getting deeper for cheaper, but shallow geothermal heat, which occurs in Iceland, is ideal. and makes economics better for H2 derivatives. In the process, electricity and geothermal heat runs through a thermal coupling to make steam. Energy is saved by preventing losses with the heat. and geothermal turbines through which the steam runs provides energy for cracking H2O for H2.    

     Sutton notes that the company’s demo facility worked very well from the outset and has now been in operation for 600-700 hours, with more than a metric ton of H2 produced in weeks. The process can work with nuclear energy and waste heat as well. The goal is the break $2/kg boundary for H2 production, then approach $1/kg with scale-up. This is a first-of-kind project. They planned it in detail and built modularized components. Modularized components like turbines are smaller but can be added together and can improve economics as oversizing is limited and off-the-shelf components can be used rather than each needing to be customized. Modularized supply chains increase efficiency and encourage optimization. This process could also be used for other green H2 derived fuels. E-fuel in the form of methanol-to-jet fuel is popular now. Sutton noted that the first goal to attract investors is to make a small model that works in the field, however not optimized it is.

     Syntholene’s commercial scale site has been selected in Northeast Iceland, but they are still working on the details. Most of the catalysts they use are widely available so supply chains for them are not constrained such as those requiring rare earth elements. If supply chains are assured then the main issue becomes materials costs. He encourages simplification. What is the hardest engineering problem? Creating geothermal steam and dealing with impurities such as silica, sulfur, etc. It is the geothermal steam that must be converted into the process heat source for electrolysis. Costs are the biggest problems, not engineering. CO2 source issues must also be solved.

 

Webinar Q&A

      What are the dominant Capex and Opex drivers? The process is thermally integrated. Initial Capex is high, but with 25–40-year plant life, or possibly longer, it can be economical in time. Energy is 98% of the cost of producing SAF, H2, etc. Thermal integration helps reduce it. e-SAF is basically highly refined kerosene. Underutilized geothermal assets are common due to locations being not near demand centers. Utilizing hem for e-SAF could help scaling and make some existing geothermal plants more utilized. Geothermal-to-e-fuels is the goal. He thinks aviation demand will increase significantly. Their project is expected to create jobs, more than data centers do. E-SAF companies are often uncompetitive.

     Is it a cheaper way to make e-SAF or more a cheaper way to make H2? H2 is often 70% of cost. H2 is not an end product but a step in the process. It costs a lot to transport and store. Using it immediately in processes is better and cheaper.

     Can flared methane be used for heat? It can be used for steam-reformed H2 for cheap, but needs carbon capture to be sustainable (blue H2). This is best used where natural gas is cheap but still must be gathered, moved, and stored, which is also costly. What does success for Syntholene and e-SAF look like? The industry must solve cost-competition with fossil fuels. Policies and subsidies can help but are often not enough. If one could get to 2X fossil fuel costs or 1.5X, then more will happen. Economic viability must be proven or at least a pathway towards it. They believe they can demonstrate such a pathway.


Emerging Markets' Client Profile for Syntholene Energy     

     Emerging Markets Consultants’ client profile for Syntholene Energy notes that aviation fuel is responsible for 2.5% of the world’s carbon emissions. It is also noted that in the EU there is a current requirement for 2% e-SAF blending in jet fuel, which is set to rise to 6% in 2030, and projected to 70% by 2050. They note that current costs of e-SAF are 7-10 times the cost of jet fuel, which makes it very uneconomical. Their goal is to get to 2X or even down to 1.5X the current cost of jet fuel. I am not sure if that is with or without subsidization, but I am going to assume it is with subsidization. 




     The graphics below about the demonstration project in Iceland are from Syntholene Energy's website.








References:

 

Syntholene Energy Corporation. Emerging Markets Consulting. Syntholene Energy Corp. (TSXV: ESAF) | EMC Profile

Synthetic Aviation Fuel: Inside Syntholene’s Bet on the Thermal Hybrid Path. Webinar by Enverus. July 20, 2026.

Syntholene Energy Website. Syntholene Energy (TSXV: ESAF) | Synthetic Aviation Fuel

 

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