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Sunday, December 1, 2024

Antimony: A Critical Mineral in High Demand Due to Chinese Commodity Warfare: Domestic Supplies are Desirable and Available According to an article in North of 60


     According to an article in North of 60 Mining News:

Falling in the grey area between metals like zinc and nonmetals like carbon, antimony is a semi-metal that possesses some interesting properties that make it a vital ingredient in a wide range of household, industrial, high-tech, and military goods.”






     The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports that more than 50 million pounds of antimony are used every year for fireproofing compounds, batteries, ammunition, electronics, specialty glass, and other products. The U.S. military uses antimony for flame-retardant fabrics, communications equipment, night vision goggles, ammunition casings, laser sighting, and many other kinds of equipment. The USGS also reports that 80% of the global antimony supply comes from three countries, China, Russia, and Tajikistan. Since those are often not friendly countries, it stands to reason that diversifying and domesticating antimony supply should be pursued.







     Antimony is classed as a metalloid, and like the other metalloids boron, silicon, germanium, arsenic, and tellurium, it has properties of both metals and non-metals. Its properties make it suitable for use in alloys, catalysts, flame retardants, optical storage, semiconductors, and electronics. An antimonial lead alloy is used in lead-acid batteries.

Bullets and shot, bearings, electrical cable sheathing, printing machines, solders, and pewter are among the products made of alloys that contain some amount of antimony.”

Antimonial lead (43%) and flame retardants (35%) continue to be the largest uses for antimony in the U.S.”  







     A fire retardant made from antimony is credited with saving many lives in World War II. It is used to make high-quality glass for lenses and optical equipment. The combination of halides and antimony is the basis for flame-retardant action for polymers, resulting in less flammable chars. These flame retardants are used in electrical apparatuses, textiles, leather, and coatings. Antimony is also a suspected carcinogen so safety and minimizing exposure are important. Antimony is used in a number of ways in ammunition.

     The U.S. imports 80% of its antimony and over 76% of imports of antimony oxide – which includes antimony trioxide – come from China. According to an article in The Diplomat:

China is the largest U.S. import source for unwrought antimony metal and powder at 26 percent of U.S. imports, while India is the second-largest import source at 23 percent of U.S. imports.”

     Belgium and India also process antimony, having stockpiles of mostly Chinese-sourced supply.

     Data on the global supply and mine production are shown below.

 

 







Recycling Antimony: 25% of Global Supply Comes from Recycling Post-Consumer Products

     In the U.S. about 18% of antimony comes from recycling lead-acid batteries from ICE vehicles. According to a November 2022 paper in Resources, Conservation and Recycling about 25% of the global supply of antimony is derived from recycled post-consumer products. That is a pretty impressive circular economy compared to other materials. Much of that is attributable to lead-acid battery recycling which is well established. It can also be quite dangerous as lead dust associated with improperly protected recycling facilities is implicated in childhood disease and death in several developing countries.

     The chart below from the paper shows the dynamics of the global antimony supply chain.

 







China’s Commodity Protectionism, also known as Commodity Warfare

     China is responsible for nearly 50 percent of global antimony mining and about 80 percent of global antimony processing. China enabled new state-controlled restrictions on antimony exports that went into effect on September 15, 2024. This brings about the possibility of future supply chain disruptions. According to the North of 60 Mining News article:

China's Ministry of Commerce said the government controls on exports of antimony needed for civilian and military purposes are required "to safeguard national security and interests, and fulfill international obligations such as non-proliferation."

"It's a sign of the times," said Christopher Ecclestone, a mining strategist at the consulting firm Hallgarten & Company in London. "The military uses of Sb (antimony) are now the tail that wags the dog. Everyone needs it for armaments, so it is better to hang onto it than sell it."

With only a limited supply of already circulating antimony to hold onto, over the past couple of years, the U.S. Department of Defense has backed a mine in Idaho that would provide a secure and reliable source of antimony on American soil.”

     China’s export controls include antimony ore, concentrate, metal, oxide, chemicals, and smelting and separation technology. They have previous similar controls on gallium, germanium, and graphite.

     The authors of the Diplomat article explain what is likely to happen:

However, the impact of China’s antimony export controls on U.S. firms will probably be minimal, similar to China’s export controls on gallium, germanium, and graphite. Before the antimony controls take effect, U.S. firms and firms from other countries will predictably stockpile more antimony, increasing prices. In the first few months after the export controls take effect, China’s antimony exports will be severely curtailed as it usually takes two to three months for the Chinese government to review export license applications.”

The Chinese government will likely grant export licenses, but antimony exports will be less than before the controls. Importers of Chinese antimony will naturally seek to increase antimony imports from countries outside China, like Myanmar. Still, China’s dominant share of antimony mining and processing will make fully detaching from Chinese antimony imports highly unlikely. Antimony prices will eventually stabilize as firms source antimony from other countries and adapt to longer lead times for importing Chinese antimony.”

 


New Antimony Supplies for the U.S. and Canada

     Perpetua Resources Inc.'s Stibnite Gold project in Idaho, home to the historic mine said to have saved those lives in World War II, is being targeted for revamping the domestic antimony supply. Antimony is often found along with gold. In fact, as the paper in Resources, Conservation, and Recycling 70% of antimony is mined as either a by-product or a co-product. Stibnite is often produced along with gold which is much more valuable. Stibnite is an antimony sulfide. Stockpiling antimony has been a common and successful strategy.

     The original Stibnite Gold project recovered 90% of the antimony and 40% of the tungsten used in World War II from 1941 to 1945. The mine is credited with shortening the war and saving many lives.

"China is weaponizing the world's access to critical minerals, and it's never been more urgent to secure the United States' critical mineral supply," said Perpetua Resources President and CEO Jon Cherry. "For a vast, secure source of American-made antimony, Perpetua Resources' Stibnite Gold project is the clear solution."

     The project is hoping to produce military-grade antimony trisulfide. That grade is also used in PV solar panels. The U.S. Dept. of Defense and the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) are involved in financing, fast-tracking, and backing the project. The U.S. government has been working to develop domestic supplies and supply chains for several critical minerals, including antimony. Financing also accords with EXIM's "Make More in America" initiative. A 2020 feasibility study estimated that it would cost about $1.66 billion to build the Stibnite Gold Mine. Since then, inflation will likely increase the cost. Once in production, the mine is expected to supply about 35% of America's antimony demand.






     The USGS has identified potential antimony deposits in Alaska, Montana, and Nevada. Alaska once supplied some antimony and is known to have considerable deposits of antimony sulfide. Over the past couple of years, Felix Gold Ltd has been focused on building a gold-antimony resource at NW Array, an area about a mile northwest of the historic Scrafford Mine which produced gold and antimony in the past.

Nova Minerals Ltd. has also identified high-grade antimony alongside the 9.9 million ounces of gold that it has outlined so far on its Estelle project about 100 miles northwest of Anchorage, Alaska.”

     These are both high-grade deposits and along with the Idaho mine could host another chunk of U.S. supply that could wean us off of China and Russia.

"While Nova's primary focus continues to be on the gold, the discovery of high-grade stibnite, a primary ore source for antimony, associated with the gold system emerging at Estelle, represents a significant development for the company as antimony is listed as a critical and strategic mineral to U.S. economic and national security interests by the U.S. Department of Interior," said Nova Minerals CEO Christopher Gerteisen.





     Stibnite ore is processed by grinding, crushing, flotation, and other processes and then oxidized which forms antimony III oxide, or antimony trioxide. The chemical process is as follows according to Wikipedia:

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Re-volatilizing of crude antimony (III) oxide

Step 1) Crude stibnite is oxidized to crude antimony(III) oxide using furnaces operating at approximately 500 to 1,000 °C. The reaction is the following:

2 Sb2S3 + 9 O2 → 2 Sb2O3 + 6 SO2

Step 2) The crude antimony(III) oxide is purified by sublimation.

Oxidation of antimony metal

Antimony metal is oxidized to antimony(III) oxide in furnaces. The reaction is exothermic. Antimony(III) oxide is formed through sublimation and recovered in bag filters. The size of the formed particles is controlled by process conditions in furnace and gas flow. The reaction can be schematically described by:

4 Sb + 3 O2 → 2 Sb2O3

___________________________________________________________________________________________

 

     Canada is also preparing to revisit historic antimony mines. A company called Military Metals Corporation is in the process of restarting mining at a mine site in Nova Scotia at the historic West Gore Antimony Project. This mine produced antimony during World War I and II. The company also owns a mine in Slovakia which they plan to produce and become a leading global antimony producer. An article in OilPrice.com gives five reasons that antimony in general and Military Metals Corp. specifically is a good future investment: 1) A historic mine with modern relevance; 2) military and industrial demand; 3) China’s supply and processing monopoly; 4) government support for critical minerals; and 5) rising demand across multiple industries.

 



Importing Antimony (and gallium, germanium, and superhard materials) From China Now Restricted


As an addendum to this post, just two days after I published it, China retaliated against U.S. chip export restrictions by banning exports of several vital dual-use materials.

"The commerce ministry in Beijing announced the export of “dual-use” items related to gallium, germanium, antimony and superhard materials to the US had been suspended."



References:

 

How to Play the Coming Boom in Antimony Stocks. Michael Kern. Oilprice.com. November 20, 2024. How to Play the Coming Boom in Antimony Stocks | OilPrice.com

Antimony is high on DOD mineral concerns. Shane Lasley, Data Mine North. North of 60 Mining News. September 16, 2024. Antimony is high on DOD mineral concerns - North of 60 Mining News

Resilience in the antimony supply chain. Susan van den Brink, René Kleijn, Benjamin Sprecher, Nabeel Mancheri, and Arnold Tukker. Resources, Conservation and Recycling. Volume 186, November 2022, 106586. Resilience in the antimony supply chain - ScienceDirect

Antimony trioxide. Wikipedia. Antimony trioxide - Wikipedia

Understanding the Significance of China’s Antimony Export Controls. Gregory Wischer and Morgan Bazilian. The Diplomat. August 22, 2024. Understanding the Significance of China’s Antimony Export Controls – The Diplomat

China’s new trade war blow could be fatal for US’s ability to arm itself. Joe Barnes. The Telegraph. December 3, 2024. China’s new trade war blow could be fatal for US’s ability to arm itself

 

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