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Saturday, December 21, 2024

Para-Environmentalism: How Do Implausible Ideas Become Popular? And Other Tales of Ideological Manipulation and Lunatic Fringes


     Since no one wants to eat or drink poison or breathe dirty air that leads to diseases, we are all united by at least a minimum degree of desire for environmental protection. To some extent, we demand it as a fundamental right. As a recognized public good, environmental protection becomes necessary to some extent. Most often the arguments about environmental protection involve where to put the line between what will be acceptable and what will be not acceptable, and what will be the consequences for crossing that line. Precautionists favor a line that will make many things unacceptable if they even hint at environmental impact, while others argue that such pre-emptive non-approval would be unnecessarily dangerous to our economy as well as impede further understanding of environmental impacts. Another way to see environmentalism is to separate views into catastrophic and non-catastrophic narratives. Both extremes: catastrophists and so-called climate deniers seem to be more driven and unfortunately more influential than the more moderate majority. Bad news sells better.

     This post was spurred by a November article in Compact Magazine by Holly Jean Buck, a sociology professor at the University of Buffalo, entitled ‘The Rise of Green MAGA.” I thought her name sounded familiar, then I figured it out by looking at the books she had written. One is on geoengineering and climate impact restoration. The other is entitled ‘Ending Fossil Fuels: Why Net Zero is Not Enough’, published in 2021. Then I recalled I had written about her book description in my 2021 book ‘Sensible Decarbonization.’ I offered her description as an example of an overly radical view that was demanding unrealistic, authoritarian, and socialist measures to address climate change. I still agree with that assessment. The book description is reproduced below:

Ending the fossil fuel industry is the only credible path for climate policy. Around the world, countries and companies are setting net-zero carbon emissions targets. But what will it mean if those targets are achieved? One possibility is that fossil fuel companies will continue to produce billions of tons of atmospheric CO2 while relying on a symbiotic industry to scrub the air clean. Focusing on emissions draws our attention away from the real problem: the point of production. The fossil fuel industry must come to an end but will not depart willingly; governments must intervene. By embracing a politics of rural-urban coalitions and platform governance, climate advocates can build the political power needed to nationalize the fossil fuel industry and use its resources to draw carbon out of the atmosphere.”

Rural-urban coalitions and platform governance = unrealistic. Governments must intervene to stop fossil fuel production = authoritarian. Nationalizing and reorienting the fossil fuel industry = socialistic.

 

Para-Environmentalism (or Fringe Environmentalism)

     Despite the bad taste in my mouth from her book description, I read Buck’s article about the rise of Green MAGA and found it interesting. Not that I agreed with everything, but she did bring up some interesting points. She coined the term para-environmentalism to depict fringe environmentalism, in the vein of parapsychology or paranormal phenomena. Like many idea-spheres fringe environmentalism comes in many flavors and from different perspectives.

     Several researchers and writers have pointed out that the history of environmentalism has episodes of racism, authoritarianism, and anti-humanist activities. Very early environmentalists (I believe this was all pre-1950) were sometimes in cahoots with proponents of eugenics and many Nazis could be considered to be environmentalists. There is a right-wing-oriented book that highlights Nazi environmentalism and the attempts to associate Nazism with modern left-wing-led environmentalism.  Later when Paul Ehrlich raised the alarm about population dynamics (which proved to be incredibly wrong) many environmentalists advocated for forced population control. In countries in Asia, South America, and Africa one result was mass sterilization campaigns. Thus, both left-wing extremism and right-wing extremism have historically been associated with environmentalism.

     A 2022 segment on NPR’s All Things Considered was about the intersection between far-right views and environmentalism. They brought back the Nazi connection to some early environmentalism, not as evidence of the deluded left, but of the manipulative right.  NPR’s Ari Shapiro noted that an anti-Mexican mass shooter invoked environmentalism in his manifesto:

In El Paso, Texas, in 2019, a mass shooter killed more than 20 people and wounded more than 20 others. He told authorities he was targeting Mexicans, and he also left behind a manifesto - quote, "the decimation of the environment is creating a massive burden for future generations." The shooter wrote, if we can get rid of enough people, then our way of life can be more sustainable. He titled that manifesto An Inconvenient Truth, which was also the name of Al Gore's Oscar-winning 2006 documentary about climate change.”

     The segment also brought up anti-immigrant, or xenophobic environmentalism, ideas like immigrants are dumping trash along the border, tainting the environment. Dr. Dorceta Taylor of Yale University noted that “the movement to preserve natural spaces in the U.S. was partly motivated by a backlash against the racial mixing of American cities.”

     Apparently, as the segment notes, the Sierra Club is attempting to address its anti-humanist past. It’s one-time director David Brower encouraged Paul Ehrlich to write his book and supported his depopulation strategy. The segment concludes with the opinion that an apocalyptic view of climate change can be exploited by the far-right for their own ends.

     Joseph Kast and Larry Salzman in a 2022 article in Sword & Scales about apocalyptic environmentalism offered the following timeline of failed apocalyptic environmental predictions.

 






     While fact-checking and documenting the past failures of apocalyptic environmentalism is easy and fruitful, it seems to be ineffective at swaying public opinion. For a lot of people, facts don’t matter as much as ideological talking points. There is often a gap between reality and perceived reality. It is prevalent in perception of risk where fears or lack of fears often do not match facts. This is known as the risk perception gap. 

     David Mountain writes in a 2021 article in the Skeptical Inquirer, depicting two traditions of environmentalism, one rational that has led to improved understanding and improved environmental protection and the other irrational that has led to a depiction of all environmentalism as being fringe. The risk perception gap is often of the irrational view:

Modern environmentalism is the heir to both these traditions: the scientific and pragmatic and the spiritual and nostalgic. However we choose to measure environmentalism’s success—laws passed, acres protected, lives improved—the former has been to its merit; the latter, ultimately, has been to its detriment.”

      Environmentalism, or at least its fruits, are accepted in many ways: Earth Day observances, company websites full of data about emissions reduction efforts and environmental compliances, and recycling, for example. In other ways that are seen as more extreme, environmentalists are depicted as anti-progress tree huggers, which is sometimes true. We have the Degrowth Movement and other calls to limit economic activity. There are many examples and books of these two strands of environmentalism: the pragmatic and catastrophist versions. Read Naomi Klein, Bill McKibben, David Wallace-Wells, etc. for the catastrophist versions and Bjorn Lomborg, Ted Nordhaus and his colleagues at the Breakthrough Institute, Robert Bryce, etc. for the pragmatic versions.

    Mountain argues that radical environmentalism became widely accepted in the 1990s. He cites organic farming, acknowledging its benefits, but also noting its limitations, and he concludes that it is not the solution to sustainable agriculture due to its low yields and inefficiency which make it require much more land use for the same yields. The myth that locally grown produce was better for the environment used to be commonplace but has been proven false in recent decades. He also points out that pseudo-science has often overlapped with environmentalism at times in its past from the early 20th-century focus on ideas like biodynamic farming to the New Age beliefs that merged with environmentalism in the 1970s and 80s.

     As I have pointed out many times, the fringe or para-environmentalists often end up influencing outcomes that lead to less environmental protection and more GHG emissions. In addition, they undermine the sincere efforts of pragmatic environmentalists by generating a backlash against their fringe positions. Buck, in her Green MAGA article, cites a Pew Research poll that concludes that one-third of Americans (31%) support phasing out fossil fuels while a slightly higher amount thinks they should never be phased out (35%). She, judging by her book title, is clearly in the minority. The graph below shows the questions and breakdown, and the second graph shows opinions on oil, gas, and mining by political persuasion. Of course, the political divide is quite clear.










     I agree with Buck that censorship is not the answer:

Using algorithms to deplatform “climate denial” or “misinformation” is a misguided response.”

Buck also disses environmentalism’s links to pseudo-science. I was once talking to an acquaintance, an older woman who had just gotten her Ph.D., though I forget her subject. She mentioned “fracking” and I told her I worked in the oil & gas industry, was long involved with it, and was not worried about its negative effects, hoping to sway her view a bit. She soon started talking about chemtrails, indicating she strongly believed the wacky hype about them. Then, I knew that it would be difficult and not worth the effort to convince her of anything. Buck says that para-environmentalists are not anti-science, but I think it’s hard not to conclude that they are willing to be anti-science if it advances their narrative. She notes some views about the pandemic that there was a perception that health scientists were politicizing health data. I agree with her assessment that climate scientist Michael Mann is an anti-fossil fuel partisan. She also brings up chemtrails and conspiracy theories about the government secretly influencing the weather with modification and geoengineering experiments, and that Trump’s nominee for HHS Secretary, RFK Jr. has supported chemtrail conspiracy theories (among many others).

     Buck also argues that para-environmentalism has gone from fringe to mainstream. She gives some examples where fringe beliefs have penetrated mainstream science, but I do not agree that this has become widespread.

The point is that environmentalist academics and intellectuals have played a role in feeding para-environmental beliefs. And some of the scholarship on the influence of fossil-fuel companies has conspiratorial overtones of its own.”

She also thinks that climate politics are locked into this adoption of fringe beliefs and that the desire for people, including academic scholars, to be influencers in the temple of public opinion has been a factor or a perverse incentive. She calls them scholar -influencer-activists: 

An effective strategy for climate politics would address para-environmental concerns, recognizing the valid reasons people have for distrusting elites and experts. It would avoid using science to score partisan points. This isn’t what the prominent voices in the climate movement are doing—and to an unfortunate extent, they can’t. The climate movement can’t stop following these counterproductive messengers and put forth more broadly appealing leaders because of the perverse incentives described previously. If Mann didn’t exist, digital platforms would elevate someone else to play his role.”

     It seems a bit strange to me to read someone, a Ph.D. social scientist who certainly seems to have radical views based on her book title, explain and critique the whole idea of fringe views.

     One thing we can agree on is that climate adaptation should be prioritized. In fact, across the spectrum of views, this idea can be agreed upon. I heard an NPR segment the other day with David Wallace-Wells, who when asked about Trump’s influence on climate the next four years, decided to talk most about the potential implications of climate adaptation to help us ride out climate impacts. Buck also paints adaptation as a priority. Perhaps they are just focusing on the positive, but people like Bjorn Lomborg and Ted Nordhaus would agree that should be our priority. The state of New York a few years ago decided to delay climate adaptation in favor of advancing faster adoption of renewable energy. That was a mistake, an incorrect reversal of priorities, in my opinion. As I always like to point out, climate adaptation includes extreme weather adaptation that would still be needed if climate change was not a concern and the totality of climate impacts includes the cumulative impacts of natural and anthropogenic climate change. Thus, adaptation will likely be needed anyway, and since most people can agree on it, it should be prioritized. I have also pointed out that adaptation would better be depicted as extreme weather preparation, especially for politicians who are primed to fight back against environmental overreach when using terms like climate change adaptation, often for good reason.

 

 

References:

 

The Rise of Green MAGA. Holly Jean Buck. Compact Magazine. November 21, 2024. The Rise of Green MAGA | Compact

The far-right and environmentalism overlap is bigger than you think — and growing. Ari Shapiro, Matt Ozug, and Casey Morell. NPR. All Things Considered. April 1, 2022. The far-right and environmentalism overlap is bigger than you think — and growing | Georgia Public Broadcasting

Environmentalism and the Fringe. David Mountain. The Skeptical Inquirer: Volume 45, No. 4. July/August 2021. Environmentalism and the Fringe | Skeptical Inquirer

Apocalyptic Environmentalists Want Fewer Humans on Earth. Joseph Kast & Larry G. Salzman. Sword & Scales. December 1, 2022.  In-Depth Outlook About Apocalyptic Environmentalists

1. What Americans think about an energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables. Pew Research Center. Brian Kennedy, Cary Funk, and Alec Tyson. June 28, 2023. How Americans view transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy | Pew Research Center

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