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Saturday, December 27, 2025

The Rise of Agentic AI for Analyzing Subsurface Geological Data Via Digital Twins: AAPG’s Susan Nash Explains It


     Susan Nash is AAPG’s Director of Innovation, Emerging Science and Technology, and a former President of the AAPG. She has conducted and moderated many AAPG Academy webinars, for which I am grateful, having attended many. She always asks important questions and fosters a learning environment. Her recent article in AAPG Explorer: The Rise of the Geoscientists’ Super Mind: Agentic AI transforms the subsurface, is both fascinating and important. It reveals several areas where agentic AI is making a difference in subsurface evaluation. There are vast quantities of subsurface data in the form of seismic data, xyz coordinates for mapping many different parameters, and other subsurface methods.

     The oil & gas industry has been utilizing digital twins for some time. Digital twins are simply digital models of a project, system, or process. Digital twins enable simulations, integration, testing, monitoring, and maintenance. Wikipedia defines a digital twin as follows:

A digital twin is "a set of adaptive models that emulate the behaviour of a physical system in a virtual system getting real time data to update itself along its life cycle. The digital twin replicates the physical system to predict failures and opportunities for changing, to prescribe real time actions for optimizing and/or mitigating unexpected events observing and evaluating the operating profile of the system."

     AI agents are autonomous AI entities that analyze data and make decisions based on that analysis within the parameters set for them. Susan Nash describes the results as human intellect being amplified by machine intelligence, creating a “Geoscientist’s Super Mind.” She notes that the oil, gas, and geothermal industries are employing AI agents, or agentic AI, to successfully solve problems and optimize processes. She describes agentic AI as:

“…autonomous, goal-oriented systems capable of independent decision-making, learning and interaction within complex environments.”   

     She refers to agentic AI as a “cognitive assistant,” consisting of software entities which are:

“…designed to perceive their environment through sensors, process information and act upon that environment through effectors, all while striving to achieve specific goals.”  

     These agents are “programmed to execute complex workflows.” They can analyze the vast amounts of subsurface data generated in a fraction of the time humans can and often find hidden relationships in that data. Agents are used to update the digital twin and to recommend actions.

When multiple agents collaborate, they form multi-agent systems, mirroring how a team of geoscientists distributes specialized tasks, only at lightning speed. This intelligence adapts over time using reinforcement learning, which teaches the agent to make optimal decisions based on past successes and failures.”

     She explains that agentic AI utilizes frameworks consisting of multiple cloud platforms and specialized software. She mentions the ones available from Amazon Web Services, such as scalable compute (EC2), vast storage (S3), and a suite of AI/ML services (SageMaker, Lookout for Equipment). Petabytes of seismic, well log, and well production data can be housed in “data lakes,” which can be queried and analyzed by the agents. She also mentions Haliburton’s Landmark Suite and SLB’s DELFI platform, which are also employing AI agents. She mentions five other platforms designed to enable geoscientists to train AI agents. i2K Connect enables fast data processing. Bluware’s F3 platform is used for data visualization, which enables training of agents in seismic interpretation. Stratum Reservoirs trains agents in rock characterization and petrophysics. Petrabytes’ platform provides data management and analysis. Quick Suite provides a platform for automated repetitive tasks that the agents perform. This all sounds like a multi-pronged cocktail of software suites. However, as a geoscientist, I know well the high costs of software, subscriptions, and cloud storage. I suspect that this type of deep-level AI analysis will likely be confined to larger companies with more disposable income or higher budgets for it.  

     Nash also notes that companies that do energy market analysis, like Enverus and S&P Global, are utilizing agentic AI for market forecasting, competitor analysis, and M&A due diligence. She notes AI agent successes in enhancing operational efficiency and de-risking investments. Below, she emphasizes their use in production forecasting and drilling hazard mitigation:

For production forecasting, agents continuously monitor field performance, providing dynamic, highly accurate forecasts that allow geoscientists to optimize capital allocation and proactively manage asset value. This extends to economic scenario planning, where agents simulate thousands of market conditions to ensure the technical plan is also a financially optimized strategy.”

Finally, in drilling hazard prediction, agents analyze real-time MWD/LWD data and geological models to predict potential issues like abnormally pressured zones before they occur, saving millions and enhancing safety.”

     AI agents are being used to optimize well planning, autonomous drilling and geosteering, reservoir management, and in geothermal development, optimizing injection and production rates and predicting issues like scaling and corrosion.

     Thus, we can see that agentic AI is already being deployed successfully in a multitude of ways for subsurface analysis, production, and market analysis.

Agentic AI is the ultimate enabler, allowing geologists and engineers to move past the data deluge and focus on the highest-value, most complex challenges, truly becoming the architects of the subsurface energy transition.”

     Finally, she plugs an upcoming AAPG two-day conference in Houston in April 2026 -- AI and Machine Learning in Subsurface Energy.

     Below, Nash provides some hypothetical case studies or use cases for agentic AI applications for three different goals: 1) optimizing infill drilling in a mature field, 2) predictive maintenance for a geothermal binary cycle power plant, and 3) rapid due diligence for a geothermal portfolio in considering a merger/acquisition.

 




     





References:

 

The Rise of the Geoscientists’ Super Mind: Agentic AI transforms the subsurface. Susan Nash. AAPG Explorer. December 1, 2025. The Rise of the Geoscientists’ Super Mind: Agentic AI transforms the surbsurface

Digital twin. Wikipedia. Digital twin - Wikipedia

 

 

 

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