Indonesia,
Malaysia, and Thailand, in that order, are the largest natural gas-producing
countries in Southeast Asia. However, in Thailand, gas production has been
declining since 2018, and there is a need for more domestic supply. In 2024,
domestic supply only met half of domestic demand, with the other half coming
from imported pipelined gas and LNG. Power demand is rising in Thailand, and
natural gas is the preferred energy source for the power grid. The mature Gulf
of Thailand area supplies most of the country’s domestic gas, but fields there
are in decline. A new area of interest for natural gas exploration is the
Andaman Sea area off the southern coast of the country. The Andaman Sea is also
being considered by India, Indonesia, Myanmar, and Malaysia, all of which have
exploration rights. Wood Mackenzie’s Angus Rodger wrote about Andaman Sea
potential and recent developments.
“The Thai government hopes that licencing its interests
in the Andaman Sea and/or the Thai/Cambodia Overlapping Claims Area (OCA) can
unlock new gas resources to lessen reliance on imported LNG.”
Developing the OCA is likely
complicated by the current border dispute between Thailand and Cambodia. There
are plans for a new bidding round for exploration in the offshore blocks of the
Southern Andaman in 2026. Gas is expected to remain Thailand’s power growth
vehicle since coal is unpopular and renewables are developing more slowly than
expected (a common issue around the world due to cost and performance).
“Over one billion barrels of oil equivalent have been
discovered in the Indonesian part of the Andaman since 2022, while ONGC and Oil
India are both conducting multi-well offshore exploration campaigns around the
Andaman Islands. In Malaysia the regulator this year awarded a working study of
its neighbouring Langkasuka basin to Eni, TotalEnergies, BP, PTTEP,
PETRONAS and PERTAMINA.”
Challenges to developing the
Andaman Sea area include a lack of clear financial and pricing terms and
incentives for explorers and a lack of geological data. Below are some
developments going on in the area.
The UAE's Mubadala Energy made a big natural gas discovery in the Andaman Sea area in December 2023, which I posted about. This was in the North Sumatra Basin, adjacent to Thailand's Andaman Sea acreage.
For Thailand, a major concern
is that a growing share of its gas will come from LNG, which is more expensive
than domestic or pipelined gas and also involves more price volatility. Below
are some projections of Thai gas production and its decline.
References:
Can
Andaman Sea resources avert Thailand’s gas crisis/crunch? As the region
attracts new interest from explorers, Thailand hopes licencing can unlock new
re-sources. Angus Rodger. Wood Mackenzie. November 12, 2025. Can
Andaman Sea resources avert Thailand’s gas crisis/crunch? | Wood Mackenzie


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