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Sunday, September 29, 2024

New Model Explains Siberian Permafrost Craters: Sinking Meltwater Driven by Osmosis Triggers Methane Hydrate Blowouts

 

     Methane is stored in permafrost in the form of methane hydrates, also known as klathrates. Methane stored in Siberian permafrost is mostly of biogenic origin due to the burial of organic matter but sometimes there is some mixing with deeper thermogenic methane.






     Unexplained craters first appeared on the permafrost-covered Yamala Peninsula in Siberia in 2014. Methane outgassing offshore of the Yamal Peninsula also occurs. I wrote about this in my 2022 book Natural Gas and Decarbonization from which the next section is derived, in order to give some context and to show some of the modeling and mechanisms for methane seeps on the West Yamal shelf in shallow waters close to the peninsula.

 


Methane Seeps

 

     There are methane seeps in many places in the world. Methane is trapped in large quantities in klathrates, or gas hydrates, on the ocean floor and in the permafrost of the Arctic tundra. Some seeps are long-established and ongoing, and some are newly formed. Offshore the Yamal peninsula in Siberia the permafrost is thawing due partially to warming ocean temperatures but mostly due to geothermal heat flux where heat from within the earth is melting it. In the Kara Sea the permafrost extends to below the ocean where during the last glacial maximum sea level was far lower and the land extended out from the sea. The permafrost thickness on land is up to a half mile but is thinner in the sea now where both warmer ocean temperatures and especially geothermal heat flux are thawing it. It is leaking in a small band where the water is shallow, not deep enough to hold it in with hydrostatic pressure. Gas hydrates on the ocean floor are held and sealed by the hydrostatic pressure of the water column but methane in permafrost under the ocean nearer to shore with a thinner water column is sealed more by the cold temperatures of the permafrost and may leak. The accelerated climate change temperature increase response of the Arctic can potentially make the submerged permafrost thaw faster, releasing more methane in these areas. On land in Yamal peninsula in Siberia are craters that have sunk as sinkholes that are releasing methane from the permafrost in some places.[1]

     In some places sea level rise that newly covers tundra that contains klathrates could lead to them being released into the atmosphere, but the quantity is not expected to be significant. One reason is that much of the methane released to the ocean is oxidized, often by microbes. One estimate is that only about 1% of dissolved methane in the ocean makes it to the atmosphere. There is some concern that human endeavors that dig into marine sediments like pipelines and undersea cables might disturb them enough to release klathrates but nothing like this has been observed. Since the areas where oceanic klathrates occur are vast it is not possible to quantify in great detail but perhaps the satellites designed for methane detection can be able to detect new sources or increases in outgassing. The USSR, Canada, the US and more recently Japan and India have done some research projects to test recovering of methane klathrates through drilling. However, there are technical issues that make the costs of recovery uneconomic. Before fracking unleased vast new quantities of natural gas, the research into klathrates was more poignant perhaps than today.[2]

     Recently, in Antarctica, scientists have gotten the opportunity to see a new undersea methane seep forming which may aid in understanding these phenomena. It is the first active seep found in Antarctica. A microbial mat on the sea floor below the frozen ocean revealed the presence of the seep. The microbes found there were not the same kind as found at seeps in other locations which suggested to some researchers that there may be a succession pattern of microbes that inhabit seeps.[3]

 

 





New Model Explains Methane Crater-Forming Explosions on the Yamal Peninsula

     Since 2014 methane craters have been found on the Yamal Peninsula and the nearby Gydan Peninsula in the Siberian Arctic. The big crater found in 204 measures approximately 70 meters (230 feet) across at its widest point. Clearly, something ne is causing this and that something very likely is associated with warming permafrost influenced by anthropogenic global warming, which has been has occurred more strongly in the Arctic region (as predicted by models) in a phenomenon known as ‘Arctic acceleration.’ The new research offers the most detailed modeling yet and proposal of the mechanism of these explosive methane ejections into the atmosphere. The authors found that permafrost warming alone would not be enough to produce these explosions or “blowouts” and that explanations based on contact with deeper thermogenic natural gas accumulations are not plausible due to the gas being overwhelmingly of biogenic origin.

     The authors propose that the melting permafrost causes significant amounts of meltwater below the surface that flows down via a process called osmosis into lenses of highly saline water kept in a liquid state by pressure, known as cryopegs. The meltwater increases the pressure within the cryopeg until it has enough pressure to fracture the frozen soil above and form a crater. The gas trapped just below it is then released. This is a purely physical process, they say, since they ruled out any chemical reaction process to account for the blowouts. According to Phys.org:

 

The Yamal Peninsula's thick, clayey permafrost acts as an osmotic barrier—and warming is changing it. This 180 to 300-meter (590 to 980-foot)-thick layer stays permanently frozen throughout the year. An "active layer" of topsoil above it thaws and re-freezes seasonally.”

 

Interspersed throughout the tundra and sandwiched within the permafrost lie unusual, one-meter-thick layers of unfrozen, high-salinity water called cryopegs, kept liquid by a combination of pressure and salinity. Underneath the cryopegs sits a layer of crystallized methane-water solids, called methane hydrates, which are kept stable by high pressure and low temperature.”

      As the first figure in this post shows, the cryopeg first inflates, increasing in size until it blows out from the pressure increase.

The image below seems to show the first two parts of the process. Part 3 is probably the meltwater reaching the cryopeg and part 4 is the pressure blowout/explosion.







Osmotic pressure from the pressure differential between the two liquids makes the meltwater flow down toward the cryopegs. When the meltwater reaches the cryopegs it increases the pressure until the ground above fractures. It is similar to the process of hydraulic fracturing where the fracture gradient is overcome by increasing hydraulic pressure to cause the cracking of nearby rock or soil. Essentially, osmosis is pressure pumping into the cryopeg until it exceeds the fracture gradient of the overlying sediments.

 

The increasing pressure creates cracks in the soil that travel upward from the cryopeg toward the surface. The pressure gradient then reverses: the cracked soil causes a sudden drop in pressure at depth. That pressure change damages the methane hydrates below the cryopeg, which causes a release of methane gas and a physical explosion.”

     A 2019 study of gas hydrates in permafrost compared the shear strength and deformation styles of unfrozen hydrate-free, frozen hydrate-free, unfrozen hydrate-bearing, and frozen hydrate-bearing sediments. The presence of hydrates and whether it was frozen or not was found to strongly affect how these sediments deform under stress, in this case, high pressure.

The shear characteristics and deformation behavior of four types of artificial sediments were investigated at different conditions, including unfrozen hydrate-free, frozen hydrate-free, unfrozen hydrate-bearing, and frozen hydrate-bearing sediments. Results show that ice and gas hydrates distinctively affect the shearing characteristics and deformation behavior of the specimens, though they are both water-based crystalline solids.”

Methane hydrate plays a dominant role in the geomechanical properties of the simulated permafrost sediments.”

     The blowouts release a mix of gas and water. Pockmarked Arctic lake bottoms on the Yamal Peninsula are thought to be craters formed by similar processes. A past period of Arctic warming has been hypothesized as a reason for their formation. It has also been noted that gas sometimes leaks around wellbores drilled into permafrost. This was in the past thought to be from oil and gas reservoirs in rocks far below leaking up but no it seems much more likely that this is from gas hydrates trapped within the permafrost, presumably below these cryopegs. A 2018 paper in Cold Regions Science and Technology noted that the type of sediment, its composition, and grain size have an effect on the sensitivity of the hydrates to temperature changes. The hydrates decompose at lower temperatures in clay sediments than in sandy sediments.

Intrapermafrost metastable hydrates can exist in salted clay sediments if ice coating formation around hydrates during self-preservation process is possible. But unlike in intrapermafrost sandy sediments metastable hydrates in salted clay sediments decompose at much lower temperatures (in the experiment conducted that was −6.75–−6.57°C), than in sandy sediments.”

     The new research implicating osmotic pressure as a mechanism for increasing cryopeg pressure also suggests a similar mechanism for methane releases on the shelf offshore of the Yamala Peninsula. The authors also suggest what future research should aim to clarify:

Further work may explore the typical volume of gas that is released in these explosions, and their potential height into the atmosphere. Furthermore, it is relevant to assess the number of currently existing cryopegs. The model may also be verified by checking if the explosions occur most often during or just after summer.”

The researchers also note that this area has a very specific set of geological circumstances that re conducive to these blowout craters, not likely to be widely replicated. Even so, the cryopegs should be mapped and the volume of potentially releasable methane associated with them should be determined since it is thought that the total volume would be enough to have a significant impact on global warming.

 

References:


Study offers new explanation for Siberia's permafrost craters. Science X staff. Phys.org. September 26, 2024. Study offers new explanation for Siberia's permafrost craters (msn.com)

Osmosis Drives Explosions and Methane Release in Siberian Permafrost. Ana M. O. Morgado, Luis A. M. Rocha, Julyan H. E. Cartwright, and Silvana S. S. Cardoso. American Geophysical Union. Geophysical Research Letters. First published: 26 September 2024. Osmosis Drives Explosions and Methane Release in Siberian Permafrost - Morgado - 2024 - Geophysical Research Letters - Wiley Online Library

Experimental modeling of methane release from intrapermafrost relic gas hydrates when sediment temperature change. V.S. Yakushev, A.P. Semenov, V.I. Bogoyavlensky, V.I. Medvedev,  and I.V. Bogoyavlensky. Cold Regions Science and Technology. Volume 149, May 2018, Pages 46-50. Experimental modeling of methane release from intrapermafrost relic gas hydrates when sediment temperature change - ScienceDirect

Gas Hydrates in Permafrost: Distinctive Effect of Gas Hydrates and Ice on the Geomechanical Properties of Simulated Hydrate-Bearing Permafrost Sediments. J. Yang, A. Hassanpouryouzband, B. Tohidi, E. Chuvilin, B. Bukhanov, V. Istomin, A. Cheremisin. JGR Solid Earth. Volume124, Issue3. March 2019. Pages 2551-2563. Gas Hydrates in Permafrost: Distinctive Effect of Gas Hydrates and Ice on the Geomechanical Properties of Simulated HydrateBearing Permafrost Sediments - Yang - 2019 - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth - Wiley Online Library

 

 


[1] Portnov, Alexey, Mienert, Jurgen, and Serov, Pavel, October 2014. Modeling the evolution of climate-sensitive Arctic subsea permafrost in regions of extensive gas expulsion at the West Yamal shelf. JGR Biogeosciences. Modeling the evolution of climate‐sensitive Arctic subsea permafrost in regions of extensive gas expulsion at the West Yamal shelf - Portnov - 2014 - Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences - Wiley Online Library

 

[2] Barry, Justin P., 2008. Deep Ocean Methane Clathrates: An Important New Source for Energy? A Thesis in Chemistry Education Presented to the Faculty of the University of Pennsylvania in partial fulfillment of the requirement of the Degree of Master of Chemistry Education At University of Pennsylvania 2008. Microsoft Word - Justin Barry-Thesis-Methane Clathrates-Final Copy.doc (upenn.edu)

 

[3] Sakharkar, Ashwini, July 23, 2020. First active Methane Seep discovered in Antarctica. Tech Explorist. First active Methane Seep discovered in Antarctica - Tech Explorist

 

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