When Russia,
Iran, and their main collaborators, China and India began shipping oil in
defiance of Western sanctions it was noted that the use of older and more
dangerous tankers could lead to accidents and environmental damage. The desire
to evade detection and position now appears to be what led to a crash of two
oil tankers off the coast of Malaysia in the North China Sea. What was feared finally
happened on July 19. It is sanction evasion maneuvers that led to the crash,
namely by the “ghost” tanker, the Ceres I, projecting false locations and travel
paths. The ghost tanker made an oil delivery from Iran to China and was presumably
returning to the Middle East when the crash occurred.
The Ceres I is
widely known to be a part of the ghost fleet that brings oil from Iran, Russia,
and Venezuela to China and India at low prices in inadequately insured substandard
tankers which is against international rules and against sanctions on Iran,
Russia, and Venezuela. The crash resulted in injuries but no deaths. If the
Ceres I had not unloaded its oil before the crash it may have been a major
disaster. According to the Washington Post, this scenario was predicted.
“Last year, over objections from Iran and Russia, the
International Maritime Organization (IMO), the United Nations shipping agency,
issued a resolution expressing grave concern over the prevalence of “dark”
tankers, adding that there were as many as 600 tankers servicing this shadow
trade — vessels that had unclear ownership, were not compliant with safety
standards and lacked adequate insurance.”
“Tankers are required to broadcast their location on
their Automatic Identification System (AIS) so they can be detected by other
vessels. But “dark” tankers were masking or falsifying their locations on AIS —
a process called “spoofing” — to travel illicitly, the IMO said. The safety
risks, the agency warned, were “real and high.”
Typically, a
tanker has an operating life of 15-20 years for safety reasons. The Ceres I was
launched in 2001 and has been operating for 23 years. It has operated under
four different flags in the past five years. Countries where registration fees
are low are preferred. Ship-to-ship transfer of oil is also being practiced with
sanctioned oil being blended with non-sanctioned oil. Clearly that increases
environmental risks, although only 30% of the transfers involve illicit oil. China
has been cheating on biofuels by blending in palm oil and mislabeling them as
waste biofuels which get a better price. Thus, China is no stranger to blending
deceptions. The Ceres I is known to have engaged in several recent ship-to-ship
transfers in the South China Sea. The South China Sea involves disputed territory
claimed in part by seven countries. Thus, it is not “policed” very well. According
to the Washington Post:
“In recent years, a stretch of the South China Sea near
Malaysia has become a hot spot for the ship-to-ship transfer of oil, which is
when tankers mix sanctioned oil with oil from elsewhere to deliver as “blends,”
said Muyu Xu, a China oil analyst at the maritime analysis group Kpler. This
maneuver increases the risks of collision and pollution, especially when done
hastily or when ships are not broadcasting their accurate locations.”
“Since August 2023, Kpler has detected more than 1,005
unique vessels participating in ship-to-ship transfers here, at least 30
percent of which Kpler estimates were doing so illicitly.”
The Ceres I was not transmitting any location data when it
crashed the other tanker, the Singapore-flagged Hafnia Nile, on its way to
Japan. The Hafnia Nile was traveling at maximum speed when it crashed into the
Ceres I which was apparently anchored. Obviously, it did not think the tanker
was there. The Ceres I reported path is consistent with spoofing its location.
“In 2023, oil from Iran, Venezuela and Russia made up 26
percent of China’s oil imports, up from 20 percent in 2021, according to data
from Kpler. In the first seven months of 2024, this figure was up to 28 percent.”
“As long as Iran continues being sanctioned and as long
as China continues to buy, this trade will continue,” said Emma Li, a China oil
analyst at Vortexa, an energy analytics firm.”
After the crash, the fire-damaged Hafnia Nile was towed to port. The Ceres I went missing for a
few days but was intercepted by the Malaysian Coast Guard after it was found
being towed by two tugboats further into the South China Sea.
The scenario is
that China and India are profiting from sanctions imposed by the West. Russia
and Iran are hampered by having to sell oil at a lower price, but they are also
avoiding other costs by operating “under the radar.” It is simple fraud. The
sanctions still have the intended effect of less profit for the sanctioned but
safety and environmental risks grow due to using tankers and practices that
defy international standards. The situation is not sustainable in the long
term.
References:
‘Dark’ tanker crash exposes dangers of China’s thirst
for cheap oil. Rebecca Tan, Pei-Lin Wu, Júlia Ledur. Washington Post. September
2, 2024. ‘Dark’
tanker crash exposes dangers of China’s thirst for cheap oil (msn.com)
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