While ammonia, especially green ammonia made with renewable energy, remains a low-carbon shipping fuel, there are other impacts. Nitrogen emissions increase by up to 185% with ammonia as a shipping fuel compared to the shipping diesel fuel it replaces, unless sufficient mitigation and nitrogen emissions control systems are added.
A new study published in the
journal Frontiers in Marine Science sets out to measure reactive nitrogen
emissions along the ammonia-fueled shipping supply chain. This comes as the
International Maritime Organization is touting ammonia as the key to its 2050
net-zero shipping strategy.
Oscar Lazenby of Tech Times notes
that 80% of world trade is via shipping and that some scenarios see ammonia
fuel powering 35-60% of shipping by 2050. The paper, written by scientists
employed by environmental groups, including the Environmental Defense Fund,
notes that maritime shipping is responsible for 3% of global carbon emissions.
The reactive nitrogen emissions
come in two forms: 1) combustion of ammonia fuel produces nitrogen oxides
(NOx), nitrous oxide (N2O), and unreacted ammonia (NH3) from incomplete
combustion, and 2) ammonia (NH3) leaks from production, storage, bunkering, and
shipboard use, along with episodic releases to water from spills and
nitrogen-bearing effluent. These are summarized in the paper:
Lazenby summarizes the results of
the study:
“The critical finding is how much the outcome depends on
what regulatory controls are in place. Under stringent controls —
renewable-based ammonia production, low NOx and N2O emissions from engines,
minimal ammonia slip, and full boil-off gas capture — total reactive nitrogen
emissions from the ammonia fuel chain could be approximately 66 percent lower
than current very-low-sulfur fuel oil for the same energy output. Without those
controls, they could be up to 185 percent higher.”
The ecological consequences of
airborne nitrogen emissions depend on where the nitrogen ends up. The study
shows that reactive nitrogen emissions affect four types of ocean regions that
make up the bulk of shipping corridors: 1) oligotrophic gyres – “the vast,
nutrient-starved subtropical ocean zones covering roughly 40 percent of the
global ocean surface.” These could alter phytoplankton communities enough
to cause harm; 2) coral reefs – reactive nitrogen can disrupt delicate
plankton-coral community balances and make reefs less resilient to the other
dangers they face; 3) Oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) – nitrifying these zones can
cause severe issues such as large N2O emissions; N2O is a powerful greenhouse
gas as well as a major contributor to ozone depletion.
“The study finds that under weak emissions controls,
these indirect N2O formation pathways could offset 15 to 40 percent of ammonia
fuel's projected climate benefit. High-density shipping corridors overlap
directly with the major OMZs at highest risk: the Arabian Sea, the eastern
tropical Pacific, the Bay of Bengal, and the southwestern African margin.”
and 4) Marginal and semi-enclosed seas - the Baltic,
Mediterranean, Black, East China, Yellow, and South China Seas – these areas
are already experiencing nitrification from agricultural and wastewater runoff
as well as shipping. Additional shipping emissions could make these problems
worse.
Current ammonia shipping fuel
systems emit more NOx and N2O than diesel or LNG, and incomplete combustion is
more common with ammonia than with diesel or LNG. Loss of ammonia through
incomplete combustion is known as ammonia slip. The higher NOx and N2O
emissions occur due to the current dual-fuel engines that utilize hydrocarbons
for pilot light ignition, which occurs at a higher temperature for ammonia than
for diesel and LNG.
Lazenby gives solutions
below that could reduce the threat:
“Selective catalytic reduction systems that cut NOx to
below IMO Tier III compliance levels (0.5 g NOx/MJ) can simultaneously increase
ammonia slip unless a downstream ammonia-slip catalyst (ASC) is also deployed.
An integrated SCR+ASC system addresses both pollutants simultaneously — but the
study documents that no current regulatory framework mandates this integrated
approach.”
In addition to this, there are no
current ways to regulate exhaust gas treatment effluent from emissions control
systems, which is typically released into the ocean.
“Scrubber systems that capture nitrogen from engine
exhaust transfer it into nitrogen-bearing wastewater streams that are then
discharged into port waters. This shifts the pollution from the atmosphere to
the sea, but maritime discharge rules do not currently treat nitrogen-bearing
effluent as a regulated waste stream under any major international instrument.”
The study compares reactive
nitrogen emissions from ammonia-fueled shipping to those from agricultural
runoff, which is being addressed by better mitigation technologies and
agricultural practices.
"The pervasive inefficiencies identified in
agricultural Nr use a generation ago have an analogue in the projected ammonia
marine fuel value chain," the study notes, "where leakage and
combustion losses vary by more than an order of magnitude depending on
technology and operational practice."
Lazenby notes that the paper stresses that now is the time to put reactive nitrogen emissions mitigation into the frameworks for ammonia-fueled shipping:
“The study identifies the 2026 to 2028 period as a
decisive window to establish frameworks before large-scale ammonia fuel
infrastructure becomes entrenched. Ships ordered and built in this period will
operate for 25 to 30 years. If high-emission propulsion systems become the norm
before regulations catch up, retrofitting the global fleet would be technically
complex and economically prohibitive.”
They recommend lifecycle accounting for reactive nitrogen in certification and compliance frameworks. Mitigation strategies along the supply chain include using renewable energy for ammonia production, employing boil-off gas recapture systems, closed-loop transfer and bunkering containment, operational protocols, engine emission-control systems, and downstream emissions control systems.
References:
Ammonia
shipping fuel could spike ocean nitrogen 185 percent; IMO framework doesn't
cover it. Oscar Lazenby. Tech Times. September 9, 2026. Ammonia shipping fuel could spike
ocean nitrogen 185 percent; IMO framework doesn't cover it
Beyond
carbon: reactive nitrogen emissions from ammonia as a marine fuel and
implications for ocean ecosystems. Lucy Gilliam, James Kershaw, Stavroula S.
Sartzetakis, Marie Cabbia Hubatova, and Sofia Esquivel-Elizondo. Frontiers in
Marine Science. Sec. Marine Ecosystem Ecology. Volume 13 – 2026. Frontiers | Beyond carbon: reactive
nitrogen emissions from ammonia as a marine fuel and implications for ocean
ecosystems






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