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Saturday, January 24, 2026

Affordability: It’s Not a Hoax, but Is at the Root of Everything We Do: The Cost of Energy and Materials is the Key


     I am perhaps a sad case. I am an unemployed geologist, nearly 61 years of age, just waiting for the day I can access social security. I am currently living on savings and a 401K account that fluctuates with the stock market. I have worked all my life, making excellent money in some years, so my SS should be enough to keep my head well enough above water. I would like to work, but there are no suitable jobs in my area. I don’t want to move, and while I am still looking, opportunities are quite scarce, even for menial jobs. My last job required an hour-long commute every day, did not pay that well, and I did not really like my co-workers, to be honest. I liked some parts of the job, but not others. I was basically starting over at the bottom at 60, although I did get a few dollars an hour more due to my 34 years of experience in a professional capacity. I have interviewed for several state jobs in two states, but the interview process for those jobs is ridiculous, since they only ask very specific questions about the job at hand, with no general knowledge considered. One of my last interviews was in front of about ten people, so it was a bit intimidating. It was for a job that paid less than Canadian minimum wage (about $17.75/hour), and while I was not wholly suitable, mostly overqualified, I was willing to do it. I was also told that the job may not actually exist due to DOGE cuts. I didn’t hear back. Although I may be a sad case, I do enjoy life and learning about new things every day, researching and writing about them here on my blog that nobody reads. It is strange, perhaps, but I don’t mind. 

     The reason I give my story is to show that affordability is now top of mind for me. This was not always the case. When I was regularly making “six figures,” I didn’t worry much about it. Now, I have become a lean, mean penny pincher. I have been successful at being frugal, and I have enough of just about everything I need. Every day I enjoy that I can get enough sleep (much harder when you are working, since every job I’ve had required some overtime), eat right (often not easy when working), and have time to exercise. I also have time to work on many projects, including this blog. These things improve my health, so I am grateful. I can afford to do most of the things I want to do, for which I am also grateful. Of course, there are also many other things I would like to do, but can’t afford to do, which is a bummer, but not too much of one. I am lucky that my house and land are paid off, my car, though old, is paid off, and I don’t have many bills, mostly utilities, car insurance, and property taxes. I have no health insurance, which is concerning, but I am in general good health. I have just enough for emergencies and things breaking down, at least I think I do. I do drive and travel less than I would like to keep my car from deteriorating, since it is a 2010 hybrid with the original battery. I am quite concerned with rising power costs, and my house is colder than most in the winter and warmer than most in the summer. I have had to eliminate some wasteful spending. I am quite thankful for discount stores like Dollar Tree, Ollie's, etc. OK, that is enough about me and my current personal relationship with affordability.

     The cost of energy, in particular, is a key to affordability since when energy costs change, the cost of everything changes, although it mostly happens when energy costs rise. The same is true of materials cost, although higher energy costs can be the cause of increasing materials cost. Luckily. Right now, gasoline costs are not high. That really helps. Thanks to OPEC producing more to keep its market share, we are paying less for gasoline and diesel. There are other factors, too, but that is a big one.

     The graph below from energy consultant Art Berman shows how food costs change in tandem with energy costs. Food costs really don’t seem to be stabilizing or coming down, and I have had to eliminate several items that I like due to cost increases. I am glad there are cheaper alternatives in most cases.




     Health care costs are also considerable for Americans and many people around the world. Those faced with double to quadruple bills for Affordable Care Act premiums make those premiums unaffordable for many, even if those increases are due to suspension of expanded coverage due to COVID. The number of people insured will certainly drop. I heard on a radio piece that in Ohio, it is conservatively estimated that well over 100,000 people have dropped medical coverage due to the cost increases, with more expected. It is certainly a worry for many, especially if they have medical issues that require healthcare. As noted, I’m almost 61 with no healthcare and none expected till I hit 65 and become eligible for Medicare.

     Trump has indicated he wants a 10% credit card interest cap. Progressives like AOC have called for such caps in the past. I concede that credit card companies should not be able to overly exploit those who take financial risks or those who may be desperate. Credit card interest is meant to penalize those who can’t pay in full and to give the same people the opportunity to defer payment. One proposed problem with the cap is that it can close credit card rewards. They reward those who pay each month. As someone who has paid a credit card off each month for nearly 35 years, I can say that I have benefited from those rewards. Though quite small these days, it is a nice extra income stream that I apply to my balance. I would hate to lose it. Liberal economist Paul Krugman thinks that Congress should revive the Consumer Protection Bureau and address credit card issues like exorbitant late fees and cap interest rates. He does have a point, though I would hate to lose my reward points.

     Another area where affordability has become a major concern is electricity prices. As a record snow and ice storm looms, followed by a week of frigid temperatures, I must admit I am concerned. High power prices due to increasing demand, passing on the costs of renewables buildout and integration, inadequate gas plant buildout, and electrification are leading to changing decisions among policymakers. The costs of decarbonization are coming under more scrutiny as the costs of electricity rise. I have long argued that we should slow down decarbonization a bit and wait for improved technologies and better economics.

     U.S. states are also abandoning and scaling back climate policies due to high power prices. Alex Trembath writes for Ecomodernist in an article entitled: Environmentalism vs. Affordability in New York, that affordability agendas are becoming more common among politicians:

“…New York Governor Kathy Hochul, who has reversed her state’s position on nuclear energy and natural gas pipelines while pursuing permitting reform and new AI data centers. It could mark a new dawn for affordability-minded Democrats, if they can navigate the deepening tensions with their erstwhile allies in the climate movement.”

       Trembath suggests that it was the popularity of climate activism in the mid-late 2010s and into the 2020s that led to the implementation of climate policies like those in New York, which many have called aspirational, ill-advised, or even nonsensical. I think it’s fair to suggest, as he seems to, that Biden was even more in line with the activists than Obama. This climate push was exemplified, he says, by mostly proposed, but some enacted, bans on internal combustion vehicles and natural gas hookups. The activists argued that the dropping costs of solar and batteries meant that it was time to ditch fossil fuels. That was always a flawed argument, he says, and he is obviously correct. More accurately, it was an insane calculation with nothing to back it up. The arguments to do so were economically and logistically preposterous. He mentions a December 2025 article in the Wall Street Journal titled: “The Climate Crisis Clashed With Affordability, and Affordability Won.” That title pretty much explains how that went down. He also cites rollbacks of proposed legislation and Pennsylvania Governor Shapiro’s taking the state out of the local carbon market, the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, as more evidence of the return of affordability concerns.

     Trembath goes on to say that Hochul even framed her affordability agenda as a return to an “all-of-the-above” energy strategy akin to the Obama days.

But Hochul’s agenda goes far beyond one pipeline. This year, she has also reversed former Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s policy of opposition to nuclear energy, directing the New York Power Authority to build a new nuclear plant upstate. Her administration has also streamlined permitting of electric power and transmission infrastructure and established the Empire AI Consortium, a $500 million public-private partnership to advance power-hungry AI capacity in New York.”

     Bill McKibben called it “inexplicable,” but the rest of us would call it doing what needs to be done to keep power available, reliable, and affordable.

     

    

    

References:

 

The False Promise of Enhanced Geothermal. Art Berman. Blog. December 3, 2025. The False Promise of Enhanced Geothermal | Art Berman

Environmentalism vs. Affordability in New York. Alex Trembath. The Ecomodernist. January 7, 2026.  Environmentalism vs. Affordability in New York

Nobel economist Paul Krugman says there's one big way Trump could really improve affordability for Americans. Samuel O'Brient. Markets Insider. January 15, 2026. Nobel economist Paul Krugman says there's one big way Trump could really improve affordability for Americans

 

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