Saturday, January 25, 2025

Big Grid-Scale Battery System Trends: New Data and Analysis from Bloomberg


     Grid batteries have been growing by leaps and bounds. They have also been playing an increasing role in ensuring reliability during demand peaks, especially in California and Texas. Bigger grid battery projects have also been deployed. As reported by Bloomberg:

Energy storage has become a linchpin” for avoiding disruptions, says Joseph Williamson, vice president for projects at esVolta LP, the company that developed and owns the Hummingbird facility, which will store electricity delivered by a nearby PG&E substation. EsVolta will sell the energy back to grid customers as needed.

The first grid-scale battery was deployed in California in 2013. The graph below from Bloomberg shows the accelerated growth in grid battery deployment. Deployments grew significantly after the August 2020 heat wave in California as the graph depicts. Bloomberg New Energy Finance estimates that 8,171MW of storage was installed in California between 2021 and 2023. The state has been able to be free of rolling blackouts since then despite several heat waves. Texas also accelerated grid battery deployment subsequently dodging some outages due to heatwave demand spikes.  





     Grid batteries have fallen significantly in price over the past decade, and they can be deployed relatively quickly. There have been no issues with opposition to their deployment. Fires are a danger for lithium-ion batteries. Bloomberg reports:

After several fires at large battery installations—including a 2022 blaze that briefly shut down California’s Highway 1—developers switched battery formulas so that cells are less prone to overheating.”

     China passed the US as the world’s biggest energy storage market in 2023. The graph below depicts global grid battery storage by country.






     Another emerging trend is increasing battery operating times with new battery chemistries and the development of longer-duration energy storage.

 

References:

 

Giant Batteries Are Transforming the World’s Electrical Grids. David R Baker, Bloomberg Businessweek. January 17, 2025. Giant Batteries Are Transforming the World’s Electrical Grids

Battery-Powered California Faces Lower Blackout Risk This Summer. David R Baker. Bloomberg. May 29, 2024. Battery-Powered California Faces Lower Blackout Risk This Summer - Bloomberg

 Heavy Duty Electrification: Benefits, Risks, Strategies, Logistics, and Forecasts

     Electrification of light-duty vehicles has been proceeding faster than for heavy-duty vehicles and equipment, but heavy-duty electrification is proceeding as well. It takes more power for heavy-duty electrification, which means bigger and heavier batteries that take up more space.

 

Short-Haul and Long-Haul Deliveries

     The shortest-haul trucks and equipment are those used exclusively in urban environments, construction zones, and industrial and commercial zones for things like basic delivery. As EVs, these are called Class 3 electric trucks. Urban delivery vehicles, city utility vehicles, refrigerated food and medicine trucks, heavy-duty towing vehicles, some public transit vehicles, and some specialized service vehicles like ambulances, waste-management vehicles, mobile command centers, and mobile labs can all be Class 3 electric trucks. According to Ever-Growing USA, the environmental benefits of these electric trucks are as follows:

Environmental Benefits

·        They are environmentally friendly and do not produce harmful gases like diesel trucks.

·       Electric trucks do not pollute the surroundings of residential areas.

·        They do not emit carbon, contributing towards climate change control.

·        Electric trucks operate quietly and do not cause noise pollution.

·        Communities do not bother when electric trucks work or pass nearby.

·        Electric trucks can operate in areas where diesel vehicles are not allowed.

·        The air quality improves with the increasing use of electric vehicles and trucks.

 

     The classification of trucks is differentiated mainly by weight, and examples of each type are shown below.

 






     Quiet operation, especially pollutant emissions-free operation, offers real benefits in urban environments, especially in places like Southern California cities that are subject to weather inversions that optimize smog formation from diesel emissions. Cost benefits include less maintenance requirements, reliability, and lower operations costs since electricity is cheaper than fuel. Performance benefits include instant torque and smooth acceleration. In some urban areas diesel trucks are not permitted to operate at night mainly due to noise.

     The DOE’s National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) in September 2021 noted that the total cost of ownership could be less for heavy-duty and medium-duty EVs vs. ICE equivalents. They noted that heavy-duty trucks were responsible for a large percentage of fuel use:

Altogether, medium- and heavy-duty trucks account for 26% of national fuel use—despite making up just 4% of the total vehicle population.”

Their analysis explored Class 8 tractors and Class 4 parcel delivery trucks. 

     An August 2024 paper in Nature Energy explored the challenges and opportunities of truck electrification as revealed via big data analysis of Chinese electric trucks fed by the Chinese power grid. Below is the abstract:

Abstract

The electrification of trucks is a major challenge in achieving zero-emission transportation. Here we gathered year-long records from 61,598 electric trucks in China. Current electric trucks were found to be significantly underutilized compared with their diesel counterparts. Twenty-three per cent of electric delivery trucks and 30% of semi-trailers could achieve one-on-one replacement with diesel counterparts, while on average 3.8 electric delivery trucks and 3.6 electric semi-trailers are required to match the transportation demand that is served by one diesel truck separately. For diesel trucks that are capable of one-on-one replacement, electric trucks have 15–54% and 1–49% reductions in cost and life-cycle CO2 emissions, respectively. Enhancements in usage patterns, vehicle technologies and charging infrastructure can improve electrification feasibility, yielding cost and decarbonization benefits. Increased battery energy densities with optimized usage can make one-on-one electrification feasible for more than 85% of diesel semi-trailers. In addition, with cleaner electricity, most Chinese electric trucks in 2030 will have lower expected life-cycle CO2 emissions than diesel trucks.

 

Forecasts

     The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts EV growth and share of vehicles. Below are the forecasts for India, Europe, China, Japan, the U.S. by 2035, and the rest of the world by 2030. I find it interesting that the IEA expects the U.S. to lead in electric truck growth, at least judging by share of EVs as these graphs predict based on both stated and accelerated policy scenarios. I also find it hard to believe that by 2035 48% of trucks will be electric as in the stated policies scenario and 71% of trucks will be electric in the accelerated policies scenario. That is a decade away and we are nowhere near that. I concede that it is possible that we will hit the lower end. However, if EV technologies achieve some breakthroughs that can be scaled up quickly, such growth can happen.  













     IEA notes that China will achieve >50% of vehicles produced being electric in the next few years. The U.K. has a goal of 80% Zero-Emissions EVs by 2030 from 22% in 2024. That’s pretty bold so we will see. Predictions for the E.U. are a little more realistic at 60% by 2030 and 85% by 2035.

     Revised E.U. standards for heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) require that “100% of city bus sales to be zero-emission from 2035, and other HDVs to reduce CO2 emissions by at least 45% in 2030, 65% in 2035 and 90% from 2040, compared to 2019 levels.”

     The IEA cites the latest CAFÉ fuel standards  for 2024-2026 vehicles in the U.S. as support for their U.S. forecasts:

The United States is also a signatory of the Global MOU, which targets 30% zero-emission M/HDV sales shares by 2030 (on aggregate, across bus and truck sales) and 100% by 2040. In the APS, the US electric bus sales share reaches around 75% in 2035 and the electric truck sales share reaches almost 70% in 2035.”

 

Construction, Industrial, Mining, Agricultural and other Non-Highway Heavy Duty-Equipment

     Henrik Lange of Siemens writes that smaller heavy-duty equipment machines such as mini-excavators and compact loaders. He notes that heavy equipment electrification can take several different forms including diesel-electric hybrids, using turbines or engines to generate on-site electric power, tethered cable equipment attached to the grid, fuel cells, or hydrogen combustion. One company plans to power mining and processing ops with underground nuclear reactors. He writes:

All those innovations enable a totally new scope of capabilities, including use cases that require zero emissions and/or low noise. That is obviously great. But on the flipside, they add complexity. OEMs will have to make additional investments in R&D, transform their current offering, and will most likely end up with a larger and more diverse product portfolio. That creates challenges on all levels of the organization, and in all aspects of product engineering. And this complexity will only keep growing, as electrification goes hand in hand with other industry trends like connectivity and autonomous operation, which translate into similar organizational and technical challenges.”

Lange emphasizes the importance of turning complexity into competitive advantage via better R&D. He also mentions the two most important construction machinery trade shows, Bauma and Conexpo, as where to explore the new machines.

      Enrique Busquets, director of Product Area Mobile Electronics and Electrification at Bosch Rexroth, wrote an article for SAE Media about the drivers of off-highway electrification given below.

Total cost of ownership: As electrification expands, battery-electric and diesel-electric drivetrains are more competitive. Combined with the widening availability of electric charging stations and the impact of fossil-fuel cost inflation, electrified heavy-duty machines are becoming more feasible.

Serviceability: Electric motors and drivetrains are inherently simpler machines compared to combustion-engine systems. Their reliability and ability to operate with longer duty cycles with less maintenance and repair make them much more productive and cost-effective to use, especially since they can deliver the same power and performance in demanding work environments such as construction sites and agricultural fields.

Controllability: An electric motor offers instantaneous torque control, which may result in fine-tuned control of the drivetrain with a superior level of productivity, compared to combustion engine and hydraulic drivetrains. Electric system control algorithms give operators the ability to manage battery life through proper power distribution in a simpler manner. In addition, controllability of hydraulic-driven equipment implements also can be fine-tuned with variable-speed electric motors driving the hydraulic pumps.

Environmental/regulatory concerns: In many major markets, evolving emissions and air-quality regulations continue to affect construction OEMs. In certain urban environments, noise and emissions regulations have led to OEMs launching all-electric, small skid loaders, wheel loaders and other equipment capable of working in restricted sites.

He notes new successful OEM designs in the 700-volt segment, with improvements in batteries, motors, inverters, gear units and advanced software platforms for traction and implement control. He gives the example of a combine harvester working in a rural location where a hybrid part electric and part hydraulic machine works best due to the extra charging required that would be unavailable in a remote location for a fully electric machine. In the hybrid, electro-mechanical devices are used for lower-power functions such as steering control. Fully swappable battery packs are also an emerging solution. He notes that a modular, application-driven approach is a good strategy that may include:

Conventional combustion engines: The standard diesel engine still delivers optimum performance in applications where the machines operate constantly (as in remote locations) and make heavy demands on travel-distance and implements, such as mulching equipment.

Diesel-electric: In this configuration, the drivetrain motors and hydraulics power are provided by a combination of a combustion engine and electrics drawing from batteries. This configuration is similar to hybrid passenger cars and trucks. For some construction vehicles, this can be a plug-in vehicle; the battery can be charged from a fixed utility line, so the diesel engine doesn’t have to run to power the drivetrain or implements. Or the engine can be operated in a load-leveling mode where the unused engine power is used to charge the batteries in the system.

Full electric: These are battery-powered machines with the capacity to support extended periods of workload and can recharge between shifts or use replaceable batteries if a charging infrastructure is not available.

New platforms for motor-generators and inverters in the 700-volt industry sector and new high-performance gearboxes offer higher performance and efficiency. As noted, making optimum use of electric and hydraulic components is a goal of hybridization. He mentions next-generation hydraulic pumps “designed to couple with electric drives, operate optimally with the natural frequencies of electric motors and respond more efficiently to drives with a much greater range of speeds, rather than the low idle and high idle of a combustion engine.” Improvements in electronic controls and software-based power management are enabling performance and efficiency improvements. A new version of electronic load sensing (eLS) “technology combines electric-powered hydraulic pumps with pre-compensated valve platforms, such as the RM mobile control valve, to more reliably ensure that the required hydraulic power is available and integrates advanced recuperation to maximize machine efficiency.” He sums it up below.

The newest generation of 700-volt electric motors and inverters, along with a new generation of gearboxes, hydraulic components and controls, is rapidly advancing the pace and potential applications for diesel-electric and battery-electric heavy-duty mobile machines. It’s also clear that hydraulics has a vital role in these machines, due to the reliability and power density that only hydraulics can supply.”

     Excavators, wheel loaders, mining trucks, and forklifts have diesel-electric or battery-electric versions with comparable performance to diesel models. Volvo released an excavator in 2017 that can run for 8 hours before requiring recharging. Caterpillar, Bobcat, Doosan, Hyundai CE and JCB also offer electric excavators and demand continues to grow. Wheel loaders come in different sizes and are utilized on a variety of construction sites. The Schäffer 24E, advertised as the world’s first lithium-ion electric wheel loader, is powered by two lithium-ion batteries and has two hydraulic motors. It is also lightweight, quiet, and compact. Dump trucks and mining trucks are being electrified as well. According to an article by BigRentz:

The world’s largest electric vehicle is a 45-ton mining truck designed by the German manufacturer Kuhn Schweiz. This all-electric truck, officially named the Elektro Dumper, is used to transport marlstone, and it never needs to be recharged thanks to its regenerative braking system. When the truck descends a hill, the braking system recaptures energy created by the downhill movement and stores it in the truck’s 600 kW per hour battery pack.”

These mining truck models still face high costs. There are many models of all-electric forklifts that are typically close to grid power and have small power needs compared to larger equipment. One important benefit of electric construction machinery is lower project costs. This is due to lower fuel costs, lower maintenance costs, less downtime, and lower engine run time. The reason for lower engine run time is that diesel engines must idle while electric motors can just shut off and start right back up.

 





Effects of Heavy-Duty Electrification on the Grid

     The result of not needing to idle makes electric vehicles in a city much better for the environment since they do not burn energy while idling. A 2021 study in Nature Energy modeled the effects of heavy-duty truck charging and found that short-haul fleets are more easily electrified and integrated with charging infrastructure. They also concluded that most grids will be able to handle heavy-duty truck charging without upgrades. The paper abstract below explains the issues:

Abstract

Major technological advancements and recent policy support are improving the outlook for heavy-duty truck electrification in the United States. In particular, short-haul operations (≤200 miles (≤322 km)) are prevalent and early candidates for plug-in electric vehicles (EVs) given their short, predictable routes and return-to-base applications, which allows vehicles to recharge when off shift at their depots. Although previous studies investigated the impacts of added electrical loads on distribution systems, which included light-duty EVs, the implications for heavy-duty EV charging are underexplored. Here we summarize the causes, costs and lead times of distribution system upgrades anticipated for depot charging. We also developed synthetic depot charging load profiles for heavy-duty trucks from real-world operating schedules, and found that charging requirements are met at common light-duty EV charging rates (≤100 kW per vehicle). Finally, we applied depot charging load profiles to 36 distribution real-world substations, which showed that most can accommodate high levels of heavy-duty EV charging without upgrades.

The Texas A&M research team partnered with ElectroTempo, a startup spun out of the Texas A&M Transportation Institute and founded by Dr. Ann Xu. ElectroTempo works with utility companies to do state-of-the-art EV modeling. They can model grid impact for companies planning to electrify significant amounts of equipment power. They point out that electrifying heavy-duty vehicles and equipment needs modeling since it can have significant impacts on the grid. Big loads on the grid need to be carefully managed to avoid overloads.

 

Charging and Charging Infrastructure

     Charging and charging infrastructure are very important for designing and optimizing electrification. Grid modeling is important here as well. The California Heavy-Duty Fleet Electrification Summary Report from March 2021gives some data for managed and unmanaged charging for their project areas as given in the tables below. The third table analyzes costs.











 

References:

 

Charging forward: The impact of electrifying heavy-duty vehicles on the grid. Katie Satterlee. TechXplore. January 19, 2025. Charging forward: The impact of electrifying heavy-duty vehicles on the grid

Heavy-duty truck electrification and the impacts of depot charging on electricity distribution systems. Brennan Borlaug, Matteo Muratori, Madeline Gilleran, David Woody, William Muston, Thomas Canada, Andrew Ingram, Hal Gresham & Charlie McQueen. Nature Energy volume 6, pages673–682 (June 21, 2021). Heavy-duty truck electrification and the impacts of depot charging on electricity distribution systems | Nature Energy

Challenges and opportunities in truck electrification revealed by big operational data. Pei Zhao, Shaojun Zhang, Paolo Santi, Dingsong Cui, Fang Wang, Peng Liu, Zhaosheng Zhang, Jin Liu, Zhenpo Wang, Carlo Ratti & Ye Wu. Nature Energy volume 9, pages1427–1437 (August 12, 2024). Challenges and opportunities in truck electrification revealed by big operational data | Nature Energy

Breakthrough Analysis Finds Electrified Heavy-Duty Vehicle Powertrains Could Provide Lower Total Cost of Ownership. National Reneable Energy Lab. September 21, 2021. Breakthrough Analysis Finds Electrified Heavy-Duty Vehicle Powertrains Could Provide Lower Total Cost of Ownership | News | NREL

Electric mobile machines won’t abandon hydraulics. 2022-06-02. Enrique Busquets. SAE International. Off highway electrification optimizes hydraulic technology

Trends in electric heavy-duty vehicles. International Energy Agency. Global EV Outlook 2022. Trends in electric heavy-duty vehicles – Global EV Outlook 2022 – Analysis - IEA

Outlook for electric mobility. Global EV Outlook 2024. International Energy Agency. Outlook for electric mobility – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA

Heavy equipment electrification: Re-inventing the industry. Hendrik Lange. Siemens. March 8, 2024. Heavy equipment electrification: Re-inventing the industry - Heavy Equipment

Electric Construction Equipment: The Future of Heavy Machinery. BigRentz on February 22, 2024. Electric Construction Equipment: The Future of Heavy Machinery | BigRentz

California Heavy-Duty Fleet Electrification Summary Report. March 2021. Environmental Defense Fund. EDF-GNA-Final-March-2021.pdf

No-fumes deliveries: Can electric trucks help clean up haulage? Tag24 News. January 17, 2024. No-fumes deliveries: Can electric trucks help clean up haulage?

How Electric Trucks Are Revolutionizing Class 3 Trucking. Julian James. Ever-Growing USA. January 8, 2024. How Electric Trucks Are Revolutionizing Class 3 Trucking

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of the Total Cost of Ownership for Class 8 Tractors and Class 4 Parcel Delivery Trucks. Chad Hunter, Michael Penev, Evan Reznicek, Jason Lustbader, Alicia Birky, and Chen Zhang. National Renewable Energy Laboratory. September 2021. Spatial and Temporal Analysis of the Total Cost of Ownership for Class 8 Tractors and Class 4 Parcel Delivery Trucks

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Radon Gas: Dangers, Exposure, Geochemistry, Mitigation Methods, and a New Map of Geographic Concentrations



Radon Dangers: Deadly Lung Cancer, Other Cancers, and Stroke

     According to Phys.org:

Radon gas pollution is the second leading cause of lung cancer in the United States, claiming an estimated 21,000 lives per year (220,000 globally), with exposure linked to multiple other risks such as breast cancer, stroke and stomach cancer.”

At radon concentrations above 148 Bq/m3, the EPA recommends mitigation efforts.  The World Health Organization set a new recommended radon reference level in 2009 of 2.7 pCi/L for residences and the U.S. The President’s Cancer Panel issued its “Reducing Environmental Cancer Risk: What We Can Do Now” in 2010. It encourages the EPA to consider lowering its current “action level” (the level at which remedial action is recommended) of 4 pCi/L for radon exposure.

Phys.org:

Regulations adopted in 35 states have mandated radon measurement and disclosure during property transactions, with tens of millions being recorded in the last few decades. The accumulated data provides an opportunity for revisiting the distribution of radon risk around the country.”

Radon gets into the lining of the lungs and over time causes lung cancer. Radon-sourced lung cancer has also been identified at high levels among underground miners. Children are especially vulnerable to lung effects from radon. According to Web MD:

Children may be especially vulnerable to radon’s health risks. That’s because their lungs have a different size and shape compared to those of adults. Children also breathe at a faster rate. Those factors mean that children get higher doses of radon when they breathe it in. It remains unclear whether this leads to higher rates of lung cancer, but some experts estimate that children could have twice the risk of lung cancer as adults exposed to the same amount of radon.”

The vast majority of exposure to dangerous levels of radon gas occurs in homes. According to the EPA, “Radon in homes causes more deaths than fires, drownings, and airplane crashes combined.” More people die from lung cancer than any other cancer and radon gas is the second highest cause of cancer after smoking, making it the number one lung cancer cause for non-smokers. RadonSeal suggests that people who spend more time in basements where radon leaks in are more likely to develop cancer than those who don’t. The damage from radon decay products is concentrated on the bronchial epithelial cells in the immediate area where alpha particles are trapped or deposited. Radon gas also enters the bloodstream where it can be trapped and possibly lead to other cancers including breast cancer and leukemia. There is also a possibility of radon causing genetic damage.

     There is some controversy about the risks of low-level radiation. However, the EPA radon gas action limits are considered to be valid by most scientists. RadonSeal notes that it is likely radon that causes cancer among smokers as well since it it the only known constituent that has caused cancer by itself in the lab. The EPA Radon Potential Map is shown below:






Lung cancer rates among men kept climbing from a rarity in 1930 (4/100,000 per year) to the No. 1 cancer killer in 1980 (72/100,000) in spite of an almost 20 percent reduction in smoking. But during the same period, the level of polonium-210 in American tobacco had tripled. This coincided with the increase in the use of phosphate fertilizers by tobacco growers – calcium phosphate ore accumulates uranium and slowly releases radon gas.”

     Humans spend 70-75% of their time indoors, children even more. Humans receive more radiation from radon than from all other sources combined. This is because radon is a radioactive gas.  

 





Radon Geochemistry

     Radon gas is generated in the subsurface by the radioactive decay of the element radium, which is itself derived from the decay of the element uranium. Radon gas further decays to solid lead as shown below.






     The U.S Geological Survey (USGS) notes:

Radon levels in outdoor air, indoor air, soil air, and ground water can be very different. Outdoor air ranges from less than 0.1 pCi/L to about 30 pCi/L, but it probably averages about 0.2 pCi/L. Radon in indoor air ranges from less than 1 pCi/L to about 3,000 pCi/L, but it probably averages between 1 and 2 pCi/L. Radon in soil air (the air that occupies the pores in soil) ranges from 20 or 30 pCi/L to more than 100,000 pCi/L; most soils in the United States contain between 200 and 2,000 pCi of radon per liter of soil air. The amount of radon dissolved in ground water ranges from about 100 to nearly 3 million pCi/L.”

Uranium in rocks is the source of radon gas. All rocks have some uranium. The average is between 1 and 3 parts per million (ppm). In general, the uranium content of a soil is dependent on the uranium content of the parent rock from which the soil is derived. Some types of rocks have higher than average uranium content, including light-colored volcanic rocks, granites, dark shales, sedimentary rocks that contain phosphate, and metamorphic rocks derived from these rocks. These rocks and their corresponding soils could have as much as 100ppm of uranium. These rocks of higher uranium content occur in various parts of the U.S. Buildings in areas with these rocks of higher uranium content tend to have higher radon gas levels as well, but there are exceptions. One reason for less radon gas in high uranium areas is better sealing of the building against entry of gases from the ground. The graphic below shows that most of the radon gas generated by rocks remains in the mineral grains. Between 10 and 50% of the radon gas typically escapes into the pore spaces of the rock. If the pore space is dry the gas may become embedded in a nearby mineral grain. If the pore space contains water the radon is more likely to remain in that pore space.  






     Radon gas will travel upward, especially through more permeable soils. It may become embedded in the soil and then likely decay to lead, or it may escape into the atmosphere. Because gases move less readily in impermeable soils like clays, they may become trapped or embedded by the impermeable layer. Thus, the layer that effectively seals in the gas. Similarly, foundation sealing is one way that radon gas is prevented or mitigated. Radon moves slower in water than in air space. On average it moves 1 inch in water-saturated soil and 6 feet in dry soil in the time it takes for most of it to decay. Thus, radon tends to travel faster and further in dry soils. Thus, an important variable for radon gas concentration is the permeability of the soil or rock. Intergranular permeability and especially fracture permeability in rock can help maximize total gas entry into a building as can dry soil.

USGS:

For these reasons, homes in areas with drier, highly permeable soils and bedrock, such as hill slopes, mouths and bottoms of canyons, coarse glacial deposits, and fractured or cavernous bed- rock, may have high levels of indoor radon. Even if the radon content of the air in the soil or fracture is in the normal range (200-2,000 pCi/L), the permeability of these areas permits radon-bearing air to move greater distances before it decays and thus contributes to high indoor radon.”

 

Radon entry into buildings

     “Radon moving through soil pore spaces and rock fractures near the surface of the earth usually escapes into the atmosphere. Where a house is present, however, soil air often flows toward its foundation for three reasons: differences in air pressure between the soil and the house, the presence of openings in the house's foundation, and increases in permeability around the basement (if one is present).”

     “In constructing a house with a basement, a hole is dug, footings are set, and coarse gravel is usually laid down as a base for the basement slab. Then, once the basement walls have been built, the gap between the basement walls and the ground outside is filled with material that often is more permeable than the original ground. This filled gap is called a disturbed zone.”

     “The air pressure in the ground around most houses is often greater than the air pressure inside the house. Thus, air tends to move from the disturbed zone and gravel bed into the house through openings in the house's foundation. All house foundations have openings such as cracks, utility entries, seams between foundation walls and slabs, sumps, permeable foundation materials, and uncovered soil in crawl spaces and basements.”

     “Most houses draw less than one percent of their indoor air from the soil; the remainder comes from outdoor air, which is generally quite low in radon. Houses with low indoor air pressures, poorly sealed foundations, and several entry points for soil air, however, may draw as much as 20 percent of their indoor air from the soil. Even if the soil air has only moderate levels of radon, levels inside the house may be very high.”
















     It is important that the mitigation system does not cause the collected and further concentrated radon gas to be sucked back into the home. EPA recommendations to prevent this are shown below.






     Radon may also be present in water, particularly in groundwater. Municipal water systems may aerate the water, and gases can also bubble out through time so that any radon gas is usually gone before it reaches consumers. It is present in very small amounts in common building materials – rock, brick, and concrete.

      In order to evaluate the potential for dangerous concentrations of radon gas, one should first determine the proximity to source rocks via geology. Next, any other post-deposition events that redistributed rock should be understood. The permeability of the spaces between the source rocks and the surface should be determined. And finally, soil saturation should be determined. 







     Below, from the 1992 USGS book on the Geology of Radon, are two sections of an aero-radioactivity map of the U.S. that measures surface uranium concentrations via aircraft flying grid patterns. Superimposed on that are shown different areas where radon gas has been found in higher concentrations along with the different geological sources and additional factors. For instance, the Ohio Shale which outcrops in central Ohio was redistributed by the movement of glaciers so that the radioactivity was spread over a larger area of the state. It is a radon gas hotspot based on direct indoor measurements nationwide. It is one of the hotspots in a populated area as well.

 











Radon Sampling in Soils, Homes, and Buildings

Soil Vapor Sampling

     The way to gather data about radon gas is to gather and analyze soil vapor samples. Soil vapor contains a composite of different soil gases such as CO2 and biological decay gases.   Measurement of radon in soils is similar to measuring it in buildings. Both methods measure the alpha particles produced by the decay of the radon in the air. One method, designed for long-term sampling at intervals is shown below.




USGS:

Soil-air methods require specialized equipment because soil-air data are sensitive to many conditions and factors, such as the depth of measurement. Radon levels vary widely in the top 2 to 3 feet of soil because of variations in soil moisture and the amount of radon that escapes to the atmosphere. Making measurements at 3 feet or deeper avoids many of the problems related to near-surface conditions, but it may be difficult in some soils.”

USDA -Natural Resources Conservation Service Soil Surveys now often contain important data about soil permeability, which can be used to high-grade vulnerable areas.

USGS:

By careful examination and correlation, scientists can evaluate the effects of varying geology and soils on actual readings of indoor radon. The indoor radon information can be used as an additional aid to create a radon potential map or it can be used as a way of expressing the radon potential of areas mapped by the geologist. However, differences in house construction also can cause variations in the indoor radon levels.”

 

Home or Building Sampling: Short-Term, Long-Term, In-Water Testing, and DIY Test Kits

     Residential radon gas sampling can be done with do-it-yourself test kits. There is short-term testing and long-term testing. As Radon Test Kits.com notes long-term tests are much more accurate and reliable than short-term tests. However, short-term tests can indicate whether long-term tests are warranted.   






     As shown below, radon levels can vary drastically between short-term and long-term testing. In general, short-term tests have a wider range of results. The reasons the readings vary so much in time are discussed below by Radon Test Kits.com:

During a single day, the concentration of radon gas in indoor air varies widely and may easily double or triple. Moreover, it fluctuates greatly from day to day, week to week, and season to season.”

Radon gas is drawn from the ground into homes by differences in concentration, air pressure, and temperature. This force largely depends on the weather and ground conditions outdoors. The indoor radon level is thus affected by barometric pressure, strong winds, rain-soaked ground, snow cover, the season, heating and A/C systems, house construction, open windows, etc.”

     The variability and ranges in concentrations between short-term and long-term tests is shown for a home over a two-year period in the graph and table below. Long-term tests are typically done over a period of 3 to 12 months, evening out the wild daily, weather-dependent, and season swings in concentrations often encountered with short-term tests.








     The EPA has developed standards, protocols, and strategies for radon testing. Below are some testing methods and strategy flow charts from an early EPA manual.  

 









Radon Prevention and Mitigation Methods

     One method of radon prevention and mitigation is deep-penetrating concrete sealers for basements. Company RadonSeal has been the leader in providing these sealing products, also called RadonSeal. They have two types: standard basement dealer for poured concrete less than 20-years and outdoor concrete less than 2-years old, and a higher strength sealer used for more porous concrete and blocks. Recommended for concrete and cinder blocks, poured concrete older than 20-years, and outdoor concrete older than 2-years. They note that it “contains ZERO VOCs, is solvent-free, does not off-gas, is non-toxic, and is a noncorrosive concrete sealer.” RadonSeal is also very good at waterproofing and should be applied especially in areas where radon is a concern. It also protects and extends the life of basement concrete. It should be applied on walls and floors before finishing or painting. The benefits of RadonSeal are shown below.

 






     Aside from concrete basement sealing, other radon mitigation methods can be classified as fan-based or passive. Different methods are suited to different applications and materials. The table below shows a variety of radon mitigation strategies, some based on fans and ventilation, some based on suction and depressurization, and some based on preventing gas entry such as sealers and caulking. Of course, utilizing both sealing and ventilation systems can be a comprehensive mitigation solution. A plastic vapor barrier under a house or in a crawl space can retard or slow radon gas movement but it still diffuses.

 

 








A New U.S. National Map of Radon Concentrations

     Researchers from Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health have assembled a national database with millions of multi-day indoor radon measurements from 2001 to 2021. This enables an updated and improved nationwide map of radon gas concentration levels, as shown below. The findings from the study include:

25% of the U.S. population may be exposed to radon concentrations exceeding 148 Bq/m3, a level associated with cancer risks.”

However, there is debate about the level of radon that is dangerous so those numbers may overestimate the dangers.

     The new map is based on 6 million direct measurements, many required for property sale disclosures.

 






Geogenic Radon Potential Maps and Risk Assessment Models

     A February 2024 paper in Science of the Total Environment offered new perspectives on radon risk assessment based on machine learning analysis of the different variables affecting indoor radon exposure. The authors developed a radon hazard indicator based on machine learning number crunching the different variables. They call it the Geogenic Radon Potential (GRP).

The GRP is characterised by the interaction of three natural processes

• Background Radon Source (BRS) represents the process that produces Rn through the natural decay of uranium (U) and thorium (Th) (220Rn), which are present in rocks and soils.

• Tectonically Enhanced Radon (TER, Benà et al., 2022) accounts for processes that allow radon to migrate more easily towards the surface through permeable pathways (e.g., faults and fractures in the crust) from deeper sources, caused by increased stress and pressure conditions associated with tectonic activity.

• Surface Radon Exhalation (SRE) is the process by which radon gas is released from the ground into the atmosphere. SRE considers variables affecting radon movement in the shallow soil up to the soil/atmosphere interface (e.g., land morphology, soil permeability, atmospheric pressure, humidity, and temperature). This quantity of radon represents the amount that could potentially enter buildings, although BRS and TER are the dominant geological radon sources.

The authors developed a radon hazard indicator based on machine learning number crunching the different variables. They call it the Geogenic Radon Potential (GRP). The first graph below shows the risk model. Below in the second graph are the different variables that were analyzed in the modeling to derive the mapping. I have done similar types of composite mapping in oil & gas geology, with varying weights and emphases attributed to each variable. Another way of graphing the attributes of the model is via a SHAP diagram as shown in the third figure below.








     This method of mapping can isolate areas with high hazard risks, known as Radon Priority Areas (RPAs). The maps below are from the target study area of the project in the Pusteria Valley in the Alps of Italy and Austria.

 

 







References:

 

Comparison Of Radon Mitigation Methods. RadonSeal. Radon Mitigation Methods - Comparison

Radon: How It Can Affect Your Health. Matt McMillen and  Zilpah Sheikh, MD. Web MD. August 7, 2024. Radon Gas Exposure & Poisoning: Symptoms, Health Effects, Prevention

The Geology of Radon. James K. Otton. U.S. Geological Survey. 1992. report.pdf

A new perspective in radon risk assessment: Mapping the geological hazard as a first step to define the collective radon risk exposure. Eleonora Benà, Giancarlo Ciotoli, Eric Petermann, Peter Bossew, Livio Ruggiero, Luca Verdi, Paul Huber, Federico Mori, Claudio Mazzoli, and Raffaele Sassi. Science of The Total Environment. Volume 912, 20 February 2024, 169569. A new perspective in radon risk assessment: Mapping the geological hazard as a first step to define the collective radon risk exposure - ScienceDirect

How Radon Gas Sneaks into Homes. RadonSeal. Radon in Homes from Soil, Water and Even Air.

There is no Safe Radon Level! RadonSeal. Radon Levels: None is safe in Homes | RadonSeal

Radon Standards of Practice. U.S. EPA. Radon Standards of Practice | US EPA

How Radon Causes Lung Cancer. RadonSeal. How Radon Gas Endangers People in Their Own Homes

National Consensus Standards for Every Building Type. AARST Consortium on National Radon Standards. AARST Radon Standards

Protocols For Radon And Radon Decay Product Measurements In Homes. U.S. EPA. May 1993. PROTOCOLS FOR RADON AND RADON DECAY PRODUCT MEASUREMENTS IN HOMES

Improved radon gas mapping finds nearly 25% of Americans living in highest risk areas. Justin Jackson. Phys.org. January 21, 2025. Improved radon gas mapping finds nearly 25% of Americans living in highest risk areas

High-resolution national radon maps based on massive indoor measurements in the United States. Longxiang Li, Brent A. Coull, Carolina L. Zilli Vieira, and Petros Koutrakis. PNAS. 122 (3) e2408084121. January 14, 2025. High-resolution national radon maps based on massive indoor measurements in the United States | PNAS

Detailed Radon County Statistics. Ohio Department of Health. County+Statistics+up+to+September+2020.pdf

Geometric Mean of Indoor Radon Concentrations in Ohio Counties. Ohio Department of Health. Ohio+Map+of+Concentration.pdf

Radon and Radioactivity – Facts and Controversies. RadonSeal. Amazing Facts and Arguments about Radon and Radioactivity

Are Short-Term Radon Test Kits Worth It? Freeradontestkits.com. Are Short-Term Radon Test Kits Accurate? Are Long-Term Test Kits Better?

DIY Teat Kits. RadonSeal. Radon Test Kits Archives | RadonSeal

RadonSeal Deep-Penetrating Concrete Sealers. RadonSeal. Basement Sealer - Radon Mitigation and Waterproofing

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