For about a
decade, the Montney Formation play in Western Canada has been recognized as one
of the best shale plays in North America and one of the largest global gas
accumulations. In 2013 Canadian oil & gas evaluators determined that the formation
could ultimately produce 449 trillion cubic feet of marketable natural gas,
14,521 million barrels of marketable natural gas liquids (NGLs), and 1,125
million barrels of oil. The Montney Formation is a Lower Triassic shale, siltstone,
and dolomitic siltstone sequence in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in
British Columbia and Alberta. Shale gas extraction in the distal facies of the western
part of the basin began in the late 2000s.
A November
2018 report by Cordax shows the development and future potential of the
Montney. Below is an activity map from that time period showing drilling along
much of the play’s extent. Several different zones have been targeted in the
formation. Some attributes that favor the Montney as a very good unconventional
reservoir include high pressure, significant NGL content, large per-well reserves
and recoveries, slow production declines, amenability to production enhancement
through hydraulic fracturing, intermediate drilling depths, and sweet gas.
Although the Montney has often been called a shale, it does not contain much actual shale and would be better termed a low permeability or “tight rock” play. There are organic-rich mudrocks in the formation that act as hydrocarbon source rocks. The formation changes facies from larger grain-sized sandstones and siltstone shoreface deposits on the eastern end of the basin to deeper water facies including finer-grained siltstone, shale, and some distal turbidites to the west, as shown below. The Doig formation just above the Montney is also produced in some areas. A cross-section, also shown below, shows the thickness of the formation across the basin. The other figures show basin stratigraphy.
A March 2016
article by the Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicists sought to quantify
Montney reserves and identify “sweet spots” for liquids, NGL, and dry gas
production. Some graphs from that analysis are shown below.
According to
the Canadian Energy Regulator (CER), the Montney Formation contains about half
of Canada’s natural gas reserves. That makes it Canada’s premier natural gas
play. As of September 2022, it was producing half of Western Canada’s natural
gas. The Montney is expected to continue to supply Western Canada’s LNG exports
as more export terminals are built. According to researchers at the University
of Calgary and the University of Toronto in 2021:
“They found the
emissions intensity of the LNG Canada terminal to be lower than U.S.
competitors. It’s a result of Canada’s colder climate, shorter shipping
distances to Asia, the use of hydroelectric power, and success in methane
emissions reduction.”
The Montney is said to rival the Marcellus Shale in the
U.S. in reserves. It is less developed than the Marcelus thus far and is
expected to drive Canada’s hydrocarbon production, particularly natural gas.
According to the Canadian Energy Centre:
“Analysts predict that by 2030, roughly two thirds of
all natural gas wells in western Canada will target the Montney play, producing
about 18 billion cubic feet per day by the end of this decade.”
The Montney is
thought to have had a complex geological history that includes the significant migration of gas
condensate. A 2022 paper In Nature Scientific Reports utilized stable carbon
isotope and PVT compositional data from produced samples representative of
in-situ petroleum fluids to determine that gas condensate migrated. Multiple
episodes of internal hydrocarbon migration were identified. Some figures from
the paper are shown below.
A 2021 AAPG
paper explains the specifics of the Montney play as an unconventional hybrid
petroleum system and how gas compositional mapping reveals that geologic structures
controlled hydrocarbon migration routes:
“The Montney Formation provides a well-documented
example of such a play, in which petroleum distribution is controlled by a
combination of downdip increase of thermal maturity, fluid migration influenced
by lateral and vertical permeability variations, and pressure
compartmentalization.”
“We demonstrate that produced gas compositional
mapping is a powerful tool that complements comparatively sparse data from
core- or cuttings-based organic geochemistry and petrography methods to provide
an unparalleled level of detail of petroleum distribution at various scales.
Coupling this compositional mapping with reservoir pressure data and published
faults reveals a strong control of the structural framework on petroleum
migration routes. The main targets of horizontal drilling in the Montney play
are carrier beds that were charged by updip migrating petroleum and experienced
further thermal maturation during the burial history. The relative contribution
of different source rocks to this petroleum system remains speculative, and
further investigation is needed to solve this conundrum.”
A 2021 paper
in Marine and Petroleum Geology explored the occurrence and timing of
mineralized fractures and how they relate to the development of the Montney-Doig
petroleum system.
“…host-rock facies (particularly grain size) and
vertical facies changes appear to be the leading factors controlling fracture
occurrence. A less relevant role was played by the occurrence of diagenetic
carbonates, while TOC possibly did not control fracture occurrence.”
“Three generations of calcite cemented fractures were
identified. Vertical fractures (first generation) post-dated the onset of oil
generation (Late Cretaceous). Horizontal, bedding-parallel fractures (second
generation) post-dated the onset of gas generation and possibly opened close to
maximum burial, corresponding to peak hydrocarbon (CH4) generation (Late
Cretaceous - Early Paleogene). Vertical fractures (third generation) post-dated
the horizontal ones and opened during basin uplift (Middle to Late Paleogene).”
Recent Drilling Forecast
Some important
U.S. players in the Montney include Ovintiv, Murphy, and ConocoPhillips. The graphic
below from 2021 shows the operators ranked by well count and drilling stats up
to that time.
Calgary-based
Precision Drilling made some interesting observations about drilling contracting
in a recent article for Natural Gas Intelligence. Precision’s CEO Keven Neveu
noted:
“Exploration and production (E&P) customers are
discussing plans to activate natural gas-directed rigs in the Montney by mid-2025’”
LNG Canada, a joint venture between Shell plc, Petronas, PetroChina Co. Ltd., Mitsubishi Corp. and Korea Gas Corp. Phase 1 of the British Columbia facility is expected to place around 12.7 million metric tons/year of LNG with first cargoes expected in mid-2025. Montney drilling has been soaring for the past three years in the NGL windows with the pentane supplied as a diluent for Canada’s heavy oil play in Northeast Alberta. Operators have built up an inventory of natural gas. Once that gas begins to be sold as LNG the need to keep that inventory up will grow so rigs are expected to be added. Rig counts have been down for the past year or so. Eventually, the supply-demand cycle will bring them back up a bit eventually.
The Precision CEO also noted:
“We see,
certainly for development drilling in Montney, more of a trend for long-term
contracts. So they're more willing to sign the contracts than might have been a
few years ago.”
Precision is “not anxious to tie up the entire fleet
with long-term contracts, but a blend of half the rigs contracted, half the
rigs exposed, maybe a little more contracted. It's kind of how we look at
things.”
In a similar
manner as LNG exports pick up along the Gulf Coast in mid to late 2025, drilling
is expected to pick up in the nearby Haynesville in the Louisiana Salt Basin for
export.
The “drilling contractor mix” is likely to “shrink to
fewer and larger, more capable drillers rather than the fractured vendor base
used by many of those acquisition targets,” Neveu said. “Some of this
contractor rationalization is already underway, and we are encouraged by the
sophisticated customer interest in automation, safety performance and overall
rig performance.”
Challenges Include the Potential for Induced Seismicity
I attended a talk
at the Ohio Geological Society a few years ago about developing “traffic light”
systems for the management of induced seismicity events. In these traffic light
systems, seismometer networks are deployed to catch induced seismicity events that
are likely caused by either wastewater injection or by pressure pumping during
hydraulic fracturing operations which can cause underlying faults to slip. These
systems pinpoint the source of the seismicity and the individual fault that
slips. They are referred to as traffic light systems since they can lead quickly
to a temporary or permanent stop of pumping operations depending on the perceived
risk. The talk I attended referenced a Western Canadian fault slip seismicity event
in the Montney play. Another 2022 paper in Nature Scientific Reports concluded as
would be expected that fault slip is a function of injection pressure during
hydraulic fracturing in the Montney. The British Columbia area of the play
contains a higher number of faults and more induced seismicity events, although
seismicity events are also fairly common in the Alberta part of the play. The
figures below from the paper show pore pressures, principal stresses, and
seismicity events, respectively.
References:
This
Emerging Shale Play Is Ripe For The Picking. James Burgess, OilPrice.com. January
28, 2015. Little-Known
Small Cap Set To Dominate Montney Shale Play | OilPrice.com
The
Montney – A Closer Look. Cordax. November 21. 2018. The
Montney – A Closer Look — Cordax Evaluation Technologies Inc.
With
Montney Production Set to Grow, US E&Ps Seize Opportunities. Hart Energy.
October 1, 2024. With
Montney Production Set to Grow, US E&Ps Seize Opportunities | Hart Energy
Look
to 2025 for Natural Gas Drilling Gains in Montney and Haynesville, Says
Precision CEO. Carolyn Davis. Natural Gas Intelligence. August 7, 2024. Look
to 2025 for Natural Gas Drilling Gains in Montney and Haynesville, Says
Precision CEO (naturalgasintel.com)
Montney
formation. Wikipedia. Montney
Formation - Wikipedia
Montney/Doig
Resources Play. Birchcliff Energy. 2024. Montney/Doig
Resource Play | Birchcliff Energy
Finding
Sweet-Spots and Quantifying Recovery Potential in Unconventional Plays: Using
the Montney Play as an example of how a Common Risk Segment Mapping approach
can be applied to quantifying Estimated Ultimate Recovery in pervasive
hydrocarbon systems. Ian J. Cockerill and Aaron W. Hughes. CSEG Recorder. Mar
2016 | VOL. 41 No. 03 |. Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicists. Finding
Sweet-Spots and Quantifying Recovery Potential in Unconventional Plays | CSEG
RECORDER
‘Inexhaustible
energy’: Top tier Montney play driving the future of Canadian LNG: Montney
production to grow significantly through 2050, even under more aggressive
climate policies. Deborah Jaremko. Canadian Energy Centre. April 3, 2023. ‘Inexhaustible
energy’: Top tier Montney play driving the future of Canadian LNG
(canadianenergycentre.ca)
Injection-induced
fault slip assessment in Montney Formation in Western Canada. A. Yaghoubi, M.
B. Dusseault & Y. Leonenko. Nature Scientific Reports. 12, Article number:
11551 (July 2022). Injection-induced
fault slip assessment in Montney Formation in Western Canada | Scientific
Reports (nature.com)
Regional
Geology of the Montney Resource Play: Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. (short
course description). Canadian Energy Geoscience Association. September 2023. https://www.cspg.org/common/Uploaded%20files/pdfs/documents/education/Education%20Courses/Geology%20of%20the%20Montney%20Resource%20Play_Sep.%2025-28%20F.pdf
Massive
Montney play ramping up with Canadian LNG exports on the horizon. Deborah
Jaremko. Canadian Energy Centre. November 17, 2023. Massive
Montney play ramping up with Canadian LNG exports on the horizon
(canadianenergycentre.ca)
Geochemical
evidence for the internal migration of gas condensate in a major unconventional
tight petroleum system. James M. Wood, Jaime Cesar, Omid H. Ardakani, Arka
Rudra & Hamed Sanei. Scientific Reports volume 12, Article number: 7931
(2022). Geochemical
evidence for the internal migration of gas condensate in a major unconventional
tight petroleum system | Scientific Reports (nature.com)
Petroleum
distribution in the Montney hybrid play: Source, carrier bed, and structural
controls. Tristan Euzen, Neil Watson, Martin Fowler, Andy Mort, and Thomas F.
Moslow. AAPG Bulletin. September 2021. AAPG
Datapages/Archives: Petroleum distribution in the Montney hybrid play: Source,
carrier bed, and structural controls
Natural
mineralized fractures from the Montney-Doig unconventional reservoirs (Western
Canada Sedimentary Basin): Timing and controlling factors.Aarta Gasparrini, Olivier
Lacombe, Sébastien Rohais, Moh Belkacemi, and Tristan Euzen. Marine and Petroleum Geology. Volume
124, February 2021, 104826. Natural
mineralized fractures from the Montney-Doig unconventional reservoirs (Western
Canada Sedimentary Basin): Timing and controlling factors - ScienceDirect
XI
Technologies: Montney Drilling Overview – The Top Operators & Results. March
10, 2021. Energy Now Media. XI
Technologies: Montney Drilling Overview - The Top Operators & Results -
Canadian Energy News, Top Headlines, Commentaries, Features & Events -
EnergyNow
LNG
Canada Nears Commissioning Phase for First Train, Fluor Says. Jacob Dick photo.
Natural Gas Intelligence. July 11, 2024. LNG
Canada Nears Commissioning Phase for First Train, Fluor Says
(naturalgasintel.com)
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