Friday, February 3, 2023

Wind Development Profitability, Deployability, and Environmental Concerns Mount

 

Wind Developer Siemens Gamesa Reports Quarterly Loss Just Below $1 Billion Citing Slow Permitting, Electric Grid Constraints, and Regulatory Uncertainty. Meanwhile Environmental Groups in the U.S. Argue With One Another Whether Offshore Wind Development is Leading to Whale Deaths

 

     These new rather unsettling headlines about wind development are concerning. Siemens Gamesa cited slow permitting, grid constraints, and regulatory uncertainty. These are causing employment destruction and investment constraint, it was noted. They had already faced significant losses in the hundreds of millions due to manufacturing flaws in turbines that caused them to wear out quickly. The consensus seems to be that they scaled up deployment of new turbine designs without enough testing time. One would think that a wind turbine company would be profitable in an industry buoyed by significant direct government subsidization. I am guessing high energy costs in Europe did not help their profits either. The manufacturing flaws will increase service and warranty costs. Other issues negatively impacting wind component manufacturers, especially those in Europe like Siemens Gamesa and Vestas Wind Systems, include high steel prices and supply chain issues that lead to delays. Vestas also reported steep losses. These companies will be raising their prices, making wind energy more expensive.

     Demand for wind is still growing and is expected to continue to grow due to governmental pressures to meet decarbonization targets. However, it appears it will get more expensive. In one sense the deployment of turbines is too slow due to delays, but in another sense, it is happening too fast due to manufacturing flaws not being worked out.

     Environmentalists and wind groups have been complaining that wind deployment is falling behind decarbonization targets, targets that many of us pragmatic energy scholars think are far too ambitious. Unfortunately, these groups have been given a lot of clout in determining the world’s energy future, which in itself is concerning. In a lot of places siting problems and public opposition have been slowing deployment, not only of wind farms but of the transmission lines needed to carry them. The International Energy Agency states that 70-80 GW of offshore wind will need to be deployed annually to 2050 in order to meet net-zero targets. In 2022 just 21.1 GW of offshore wind was deployed. It should perhaps be pointed out that even with that under-deployment to meet targets, costs are rising, supply chains are strained, and manufacturers are experiencing problems and profitability issues.

     Meanwhile an uptick in dead whales appearing on the East Coast has one set of environmentalists blaming wind development and other set of environmentalists denying that is the cause. Nine whales, two sperm whales and seven humpback whales have been found dead in less than two months. The only new industrial or human developments in the area are offshore wind. One set of groups is calling for the industry to slow down and study the issues and get more public input, citing the Marine Mammal Protection Act, while another set, including the Sierra Club, is saying that fishing and vessel strikes could be causing the deaths and that slowing wind development will slow the stemming of climate change impacts. Other groups were more middle ground. The Center of Biological Diversity called for slowing wind development in the area. Incidentally, that group itself is not middle ground at all as I have found them to be one of the more radical and biased groups despite their pragmatic view in this case and I do not think their name fits them – they are not a scientific group as the name appears to suggest, but a radical environmental group. I am wondering how these issues will affect Biden’s plan to establish 30 GW of offshore wind by 2030, which is less than 83 months away from now.

 

References  


Massive green energy company reports nearly $1 billion in losses, calls for 'further governmental action'. Thomas Catenacci. Fox News. February 2, 2023. Massive green energy company reports nearly $1 billion in losses, calls for 'further governmental action' (msn.com)

 

Siemens’ troubles mount on wind turbine flaws. The Star. (Bloomberg). January 24, 2023. Siemens’ troubles mount on wind turbine flaws | The Star

 

Wind energy expansion faces strong headwinds across US, industry report shows. Thomas Catenacci. Fox Business. July 15, 2022. Wind energy expansion faces strong headwinds across US, industry report shows | Fox Business

 

Uptick in dead whales along East Coast sparks intense debate among environmentalists over offshore wind. Thomas Catenacci. Fox News. Feb. 2, 2023. Uptick in dead whales along East Coast sparks intense debate among environmentalists over offshore wind | Fox News

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