Wednesday, April 9, 2025

New Pipeline Projects Set to Go Forward with Reformed Regulatory Environment: Boardwalk’s Borealis Natural Gas Pipeline Expansion Project Set to Bring More Appalachian Gas to Gulf Coast and Williams’ Constitution Pipeline for Northeast Revived

     America needs permit reform. The preferred and sensible approach is to reform it through bipartisan Congressional action. For now, the Trump administration is eliminating government red tape and approving projects as fast as they can. Among projects with significant public opposition, renewable energy projects are not likely to see such approvals, but fossil fuel projects will. LNG projects are getting approved faster.  

     Pipeline projects are also expected to get faster with faster NEPA reviews. This post is about two proposed new pipeline projects in the Northeast. Both projects plan to deliver natural gas from the Marcellus and Utica Formations. The first is the Borealis Natural Gas Pipeline Expansion Project proposed by Midstream company Boardwalk, the parent company of Texas Gas. It is set to deliver natural gas from the Marcellus and Utica to Louisiana with access to the Midwest and the Gulf Coast.

     The second project is a revival of a project that was scrapped several years ago due to New York’s Environmental Department which did not approve water impact permits. This is the Constitution Pipeline proposed by Midstream company Willliams. This project may still have some legal challenges ahead as it becomes a state vs. federal issue. However, Congressional Republicans have indicated they are open to forcing approval. Northeastern governors have also recently indicated support for the revived pipeline.

     The Borealis Project is set to deliver up to 2 BCF/day which makes it a large pipeline. Texas Gas indicates that they are open to upstream extensions of their pipeline systems into different parts of the Marcellus and Utica play areas in Ohio, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania.  

The open season runs from April 1 through April 30, 2025. Interested shippers must execute a confidentiality agreement to receive more detailed information. The preferred transportation term is 20 years, though other durations will be considered.

Following the open season, Texas Gas will begin discussions with participants and could move toward binding commitments for capacity.






     Williams’ Constitution was set to deliver Marcellus gas from Northeastern Pennsylvania to New York and New England. The project was abandoned in 2020. The specs are a 30-inch diameter, 124-mile, 660 MMcf/d pipeline. Williams CEO Alan Armstrong indicated at CERAWeek that he would want support from all the governors including New York’s Kathy Hochul and assurances from New York and Massachusetts that they would not ban natural gas hookups before he would fully commit to the project. 






     The need for more natural gas capacity in the region is reflected by winter price spikes along with higher winter prices than the Henry Hub index this year.






Armstrong also noted that the lack of regional gas capacity is resulting in data centers bypassing the region. He also said that there is plenty of pipeline demand in friendly states in the south so they will be more selective about projects like Constitution that face possible opposition that could become costly for them. Armstrong also made a rather memorable statement that permitting costs for pipelines typically exceed the cost of the steel pipeline itself. Permitting risks and costs are among their biggest risks, he noted.

 

    

    

References:

 

Boardwalk’s Texas Gas Launches Open Season for 2Bcf/d Marcellus-to-Louisiana Pipeline Expansion. Mary Holcomb. Pipeline & Gas Journal. April 1, 2025. Boardwalk’s Texas Gas Launches Open Season for 2 Bcf/d Marcellus-to-Louisiana Pipeline Expansion | Pipeline and Gas Journal

Constitution Natural Gas Pipeline a Go – With Northeastern Governors' Support, Says Williams Chief. Carolyn Davis. Natural Gas Intelligence. March 13, 2025. Constitution Natural Gas Pipeline a Go – with Northeastern Governors Support, Says Williams Chief

Texas Gas Gauging Support to Move More Appalachian Natural Gas to Midwest, Gulf Coast Markets. Carolyn Davis. Natural Gas Intelligence. April 3, 2025. Texas Gas Gauging Support to Move More Appalachian Natural Gas to Midwest, Gulf Coast Markets

 

Ethylene Oxide: Uses, Exposure, Toxicity, and Regulation

     I wrote in a recent post that Walter Mugdan, former deputy administrator for EPA’s New York City-based regional office and Superfund director, referred to ethylene oxide as “an incredibly dangerous and carcinogenic chemical that needs to be carefully controlled to protect nearby communities.”

     According to Wikipedia:

Ethylene oxide is an organic compound with the formula C2H4O. It is a cyclic ether and the simplest epoxide: a three-membered ring consisting of one oxygen atom and two carbon atoms. Ethylene oxide is a colorless and flammable gas with a faintly sweet odor.”

The reactivity that is responsible for many of ethylene oxide's hazards also makes it useful. Although too dangerous for direct household use and generally unfamiliar to consumers, ethylene oxide is used for making many consumer products as well as non-consumer chemicals and intermediates. These products include detergents, thickeners, solvents, plastics, and various organic chemicals such as ethylene glycol, ethanolamines, simple and complex glycols, polyglycol ethers, and other compounds. Although it is a vital raw material with diverse applications, including the manufacture of products like polysorbate 20 and polyethylene glycol (PEG) that are often more effective and less toxic than alternative materials, ethylene oxide itself is a very hazardous substance. At room temperature it is a very flammable, carcinogenic, mutagenic, irritating, and anaesthetic gas.”






     The U.S.  and EU countries are by far the largest producers of EtO, followed distantly by Saudi Arabia, China, and Canada.






     Ethylene Oxide (EtO) is a very important raw material for the production of industrial chemicals. These chemicals are used in many products. Most EtO is used to produce ethylene glycol. Some breakdowns are shown below.


      Global industrial use of ethylene oxide in 2007.






     EtO is widely used as a healthcare sterilant. In the U.S. the EPA regulates EtO via the National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP). They describe it as follows:

Ethylene oxide (EtO) is a colorless gas used to make other chemicals that are used in making a range of products, including antifreeze, textiles, plastics, detergents and adhesives. EtO also is used to sterilize equipment and plastic devices that cannot be sterilized by steam, such as medical equipment. EtO use can contribute to increased cancer risk. EPA is committed to reducing this risk by taking action to protect communities, workers in commercial sterilization, and others who might be at increased risk from EtO when it is used to sterilize things.”

     While EtO is considered a proven carcinogen by some and a probable carcinogen by others, it also has many other toxic effects. A December 2020 study in the Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part B, noted that tobacco smoking is the major exposure pathway for EtO. They note that there are both exogenous and endogenous (internal) sources of EtO. We make it in the body in small amounts. A graphic of the different external and internal exposure pathways is shown below.

“…exposure trends in workers have been decreasing over time in the U.S. due to better industry hygiene, engineering controls, and changes in occupational exposure limits. Similarly, tobacco-related exposures to ethylene oxide have also been decreasing over time due to changes in smoking habits in the U.S.”

They note that there are both exogenous and endogenous (internal) sources of EtO. We make it in the body in small amounts. A graphic of the different external and internal exposure pathways is shown below.







     They also note that risks associated with chronic low levels of EtO may be overestimated. Indeed a 2022 article in Chemico-Biological Interactions: Systematic review of the scientific evidence on ethylene oxide as a human carcinogen, states that cancer risks at typical exposures are probably overestimated and that the evidence that EtO is a carcinogen is not clear and consistent. The Union of Concerned Scientists, however, notes that EtO has been shown to be potentially associated with several different kinds of cancer and is mutagenic, which means it changes cell DNA, which would make is especially dangerous to children.

The maximum content of ethylene oxide in the air according to the US standards (ACGIH) is 1.8 mg/m3 (0.00079 gr/cu ft). NIOSH has determined that the Immediately Dangerous to Life and Health level (IDLH) is 800 ppm.”

It can be smelled between 250 and 700ppm – very close to a possibly lethal dose.

Ethylene oxide is toxic by inhalation, with a US OSHA permissible exposure limit calculated as a TWA (time weighted average) over 8 hours of 1 ppm, and a short term exposure limit (excursion limit) calculated as a TWA over 15 minutes of 5 ppm.[135] At concentrations in the air about 200 parts per million, ethylene oxide irritates mucous membranes of the nose and throat.”

Accidental poisoning has occurred in healthcare and industrial settings. Chronic exposure at low levels (around 3ppm) has been associated with headaches, nausea, and vomiting.

     A Soviet-era thermobaric bomb used to contain ethylene oxide. However, the updated version, recently used on Ukrainian fighters, uses about 330 pounds of piperylene to create a fuel-air cloud that can kill more people.

“…the ODAB-500P is an improvement on the ODAB-500, a Soviet fuel-air bomb introduced in the 1970s. Inside the ODAB-500, which weighs about 880 pounds, there is nearly 220 pounds of ethylene oxide. However, this basic version of the ammunition is characterized by very low reliability. For this reason, the ODAB-500 was replaced with the newer generation ODAB-500P.”

     The U.S. EPA issued a final rule in April 2024 updating EtO emission standards. However, the new administration’s EPA under Lee Zeldin has indicated that the new standards may be scrapped. Thus far there was an order to reconsider EPA’s upgraded NESHAP standards.

     The Union of Concerned Scientists has an interactive map showing locations for major EtO production facilities in the U.S. and areas the EPA has deemed to have the highest cancer risk.






     The American Chemical Council produced the video below on the uses and management of EtO. 

  

 





References:

 

Ethylene Oxide: New Interactive Map Shows Communities Impacted by Cancer-Causing Chemical. Union of Concerned Scientists. February 7, 2023. Ethylene Oxide: New Interactive Map Shows Communities Impacted by Cancer-Causing Chemical - Union of Concerned Scientists

Systematic review of the scientific evidence on ethylene oxide as a human carcinogen. Heather N. Lynch, Jordan S. Kozal, Anthony J. Russell, William J. Thompson, Haley R. Divis, Rachel D. Freid, Edward J. Calabrese, and Kenneth A. Mundt. Chemico-Biological Interactions. Volume 364, 1 September 2022, 110031. Systematic review of the scientific evidence on ethylene oxide as a human carcinogen - ScienceDirect

Ethylene oxide review: characterization of total exposure via endogenous and exogenous pathways and their implications to risk assessment and risk management. CR Kirman, AA Li, PJ Sheehan, JS Bus, RC Lewis & SM Hays. Pages 1-29 | Published online: 15 Dec 2020. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part B Critical Reviews. Volume 24, 2021 - Issue 1. Full article: Ethylene oxide review: characterization of total exposure via endogenous and exogenous pathways and their implications to risk assessment and risk management

Ethylene Oxide: An Essential Chemistry. YouTube. American Chemistry. July 9, 2021. Bing Videos

Ethylene oxide. Wikipedia. Ethylene oxide - Wikipedia

Hazardous Air Pollutants: Ethylene Oxide (EtO). U.S. EPA. Hazardous Air Pollutants: Ethylene Oxide (EtO) | US EPA

Final Rule to Strengthen Standards for Synthetic Organic Chemical Plants and Polymers and Resins Plants. U.S. EPA. Final Rule to Strengthen Standards for Synthetic Organic Chemical Plants and Polymers and Resins Plants | US EPA

Russian precision strike in Belgorod: Ukrainian defenses falter. NGA. Essa News. April 3, 2025. Russian precision strike in Belgorod: Ukrainian defenses falter

Trump EPA Announces Reconsideration of Air Rules Regulating American Energy, Manufacturing, Chemical Sectors (NESHAPs). U.S. EPA. March 12, 2025. Trump EPA Announces Reconsideration of Air Rules Regulating American Energy, Manufacturing, Chemical Sectors (NESHAPs) | US EPA

Two New Solar Innovations: PV Glass/Transparent Solar Achieves Record 12.3% Efficiency and Bio-Based UV Protection Film w/ Red Onion Extract Blocks 99.9% of UV Radiation


      A new transparent tandem solar cell combining layers of perovskite and organic layers with a 30% transparency achieves a record 12.3 % efficiency. The cell collects energy from the infrared and ultraviolet parts of the spectrum but not visible light. Its semi-transparency allows it to be used as a semi-transparent solar window. While the efficiency is a little over half that of a PV solar cell, it is a new efficiency record for transparent solar cells, also known as photovoltaic glass.

     The new cell can be incorporated easily into buildings providing additional energy harvesting capabilities. There are still hurdles to making the technology cost-effective but scale-up evaluation is being pursued. The many large buildings with significant window areas can benefit from such technology.

     Transparent solar has long been considered viable for the future for both windows and glass screens. A 2020 article in Interesting Engineering explored a Korean innovation using silicon alternated with metal oxides (nickel and zinc) to harness UV light. Research leader Professor Joondong Kim noted:

We hope to extend the use of our TPV design to all kinds of material, right from glass buildings to mobile devices like electric cars, smartphones, and sensors.”

 

Bio-Based Nanocellulose UV Protection Film Blocks UV Light That Degrades Solar Panels

     A new biological-based nanocellulose material infused with red onion extract was found to outperform petroleum-based materials such as polyvinyl fluoride (PVF) and polyethylene terephthalate (PET). The new material blocked 99.9% of UV light and should be able to extend the life of solar panels.

     According to Interesting Engineering:

The research team systematically evaluated four distinct bio-based protective films composed of cellulose nanofibers. These materials were treated with red onion extract, lignin, and iron ions—each of which has demonstrated UV-blocking properties in prior studies.”

Among the tested samples, the red onion extract-infused film exhibited the most effective UV attenuation.”

For the materials to be most effective they must be transparent. While the lignin and other materials block UV light they are less transparent than the red onion infused material which achieved 80% transparency.






     The study also simulated degradation over time. They tested the different materials on dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs)─devices that are extremely prone to UV degradation. The researchers also think the new discovery will be applicable to organic solar cells and perovskite solar cells. Below is the conclusion of the paper that showed the red onion infused material lasted over five times longer than conventional petro-based films, 8500 hours vs. 1500 hours.

This study presents a comparative analysis of the long-term performance of cellulose-based films as sustainable UV light filters for optoelectronic applications. The findings reveal significant performance changes during aging, with the UV cutoff wavelength shifting even by tens of nanometers and visible range transmittance varying considerably, highlighting the importance of such evaluations to ensure the filters’ long-term suitability for these applications. To assess their UV-shielding properties, the films were applied to DSSCs─devices highly susceptible to UV degradation─and subjected to accelerated aging tests under artificial sunlight for 1000 h. UV–vis-NIR spectroscopy revealed that the red onionskin-dyed CNF film (CNF-ROE) was particularly effective in UV shielding, blocking 99.9% of the radiation below 400 nm. The 1000-h light soaking test demonstrated that the CNF-ROE filter film effectively minimized electrolyte color bleaching and preserved JSC of the DSSC, outperforming other films, including the commercial SFC-10l filter. Predictive modeling based on the accelerated aging test projected that CNF-ROE could retain the lifetime of DSSCs for approximately 8500 h, significantly longer than the 1500 h for typical, commercially available, conventional, fossil-fuel-based UV filter. While the results obtained using TOCNF-Fe3+, TOCNF-ECH Fe3+, and CNF-LNP support previously reported trends in the literature indicating that sustainable and biobased filters generally cause more significant losses in the visible range compared to conventional filters, the CNF-ROE filter proved to be an interesting exception. Notably, the CNF-ROE filter film reached the highest transmittance (higher than 80%) in the 650–1100 nm range, outperforming other filters in preserving visible light transmissionThese findings indicate that red onion-based films hold great promise in UV protection and support their consideration for optoelectronic applications where sustainability is crucial.”

    

 

References:

 

Transparent solar tech sets new efficiency record with 12.3% power conversion rate. Christopher McFadden. Interesting Engineering. March 23, 2025. Transparent solar tech sets new efficiency record with 12.3% power conversion rate

Red onion waste becomes powerful solar cell shield that blocks 99.9% of UV rays. Sujita Sinha. Interesting Engineering. March 20, 2025. Red onion waste becomes powerful solar cell shield that blocks 99.9% of UV rays

Sustainable Nanocellulose UV Filters for Photovoltaic Applications: Comparison of Red Onion (Allium cepa) Extract, Iron Ions, and Colloidal Lignin. Rustem Nizamov, Aapo Poskela, Joice Kaschuk, Karl Alexander Henn, Rafael Grande, Sari Granroth, Mikael Nyberg, Maryam Esmaeilzadeh, Jaana Vapaavuori, Monika Österberg, and Kati Miettunen. ACS Applied Optical Materials. Vol 3/Issue 3. February 24, 2025. Sustainable Nanocellulose UV Filters for Photovoltaic Applications: Comparison of Red Onion (Allium cepa) Extract, Iron Ions, and Colloidal Lignin | ACS Applied Optical Materials

See-Through Solar Cells Might Signal Dawn of Personalized Energy, Study Says. Researchers in Korea invented a solar cell harnessing UV light to generate ‘personalized energy.’ Brad Bergan. November 4, 2020. See-Through Solar Cells Might Signal Dawn of Personalized Energy, Study Says

 

Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Ground Level Ozone: Contributors to Western U.S. Ozone Pollution Include Fossil Fuel Combustion Pollutants (Mostly from Asia) But also International Shipping, Trees, Cooking Emissions, Volatile Chemical Products, Wildfires, and Fertilizers


        According to Wikipedia, average ground-level, or tropospheric ozone (O3) concentrations are about 20-30 parts per billion (ppb) and nearly 100 ppb in polluted areas. Stratospheric ozone is a wholly different issue since people are not exposed to it. About 90% of atmospheric ozone is in the stratosphere and about 10% is in the troposphere. Tropospheric ozone is at its highest levels in the summer months when there is more heat and more light.

     Ground-level ozone is often measured via remote sensing, including spectrometers aboard satellites and ground-based LIDAR, and with in-situ monitoring technology. It is one of the six primary criteria air pollutants. Measurements from ozone monitoring are derived from its UV-absorption properties. Precursors to ozone include NOx, carbon monoxide (CO), and VOCs. NOx emissions are the main culprit.

Ground-level or tropospheric ozone is created by chemical reactions between NOx gases (oxides of nitrogen produced by combustion) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The combination of these chemicals in the presence of sunlight form ozone.”

Ground-level ozone is created mostly by humans, formed by pollutants — such as nitrous oxide, methane, and volatile organic compounds — that are emitted by cars, trucks, refineries, power plants, and oil and gas development.”

An example is the chain reaction by which CO forms O3, which involves several steps. The net reaction is as follows: CO + 2O2 → CO2 + O3.

     The harmful effects of ozone are very well established and include respiratory irritation, coughing, reduced lung function, inflammation and lung damage, increased susceptibility to respiratory infections, and contributions to heart disease. Some people are exposed to ozone at higher levels or at higher frequencies and some are more vulnerable to it due to health predispositions. Below is a map showing the mostly urban areas where tropospheric ozone levels are the highest. Weather inversions in the Western U.S. can also keep ozone levels higher for longer. Thus, weather is also a big factor in exposure. Background concentrations are also naturally higher in the Western U.S. which can contribute significantly to high O3 levels there.






     According to a 2018 article in Scientific American:

Ground-level ozone, or O3, is a hazard to human health and the environment, causing respiratory problems and exacerbating asthma while also harming some vegetation and wildlife. Created when by-products of combustion interact with sunlight, it may cause more than a million deaths each year around the world, along with tens of billions of dollars in crop losses.”

They also note that we have made progress in reducing ground-level ozone, citing a 31 percent decrease in the national average ozone concentration from 1980 to 2016. The following map shows that summer O3 concentrations are highest in the U.S. and Europe, and to a lesser extent China.






     Solutions to the ozone problem going forward include capturing and abating more combustion gases, switching to fuels that make less ozone precursors, and planting trees to help take up some of the urban O3. Levels around the world are regulated to stay below 50-70ppb. Ozone pollution can also travel through the atmosphere and drop to ground-level elsewhere as a study showed that ozone precursors from China was dropping to ground level in the Western U.S.

     While trees can abate ground-level ozone some can also create it. Trees release a VOC called isoprene which reacts to form formaldehyde, another smog precursor, when it is hot. Terpenes common to evergreen trees can also contribute to smog. This is the reason the Smoky Mountains are smoky. Ozone precursor VOC emissions are also known as reactive carbon emissions. Naturally occurring VOC emissions are known as biogenic emissions. Some trees often planted in urban environments like oaks and eucalyptus may contribute to the ozone problem by mixing with urban fossil fuel emissions to form ‘smog cocktails.’

     While tropospheric ozone is at its highest levels during the summer months it is increasing in the winter as well in some areas. A study from Hong Kong Polytechnic University found high ozone levels due to alkenes from Chinese petrochemical plants, especially in the early afternoon hours.

     A 2021 article by Yale Environment 360 notes that ozone levels at Sequoia National Park are often as high as they are in Los Angeles. This is due to the migration of the urban pollution as well as the agriculture and industry in the San Joaquin Valley.

     Smog has well-known negative effects on plants such as hampering photosynthesis. More detrimental effects on biodiversity are being discovered. According to the article:

Ozone is the most damaging pollutant in the world,” said Evgenios Agathokleous, a professor of environmental resources at the Institute of Ecology at Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology in China and one of the top researchers in the field. “It induces the most widespread damage to plants, and it’s a very serious threat to biodiversity.” In some parts of Asia, he said, ozone levels are 10 times the critical thresholds.

     Ozone precursor emissions are rising due to combustion in China, India, and the rest of Southeast Asia. According to the USDA, ozone does more damage to plants than all the other pollutants combined and may even cause food scarcity in the future, according to some estimates. It damages plants in multiple ways. One is to make them more susceptible to diseases. It also disrupts their cycles and relationships to the environment. It shrinks leaf size. It can damage and stunt root growth as well. Some trees are more susceptible to ozone pollution. These include black cherry, white pine, and quaking aspen. Biodiversity is reduced. It can affect scent trails used by pollinators and other insects. The lungs of larger animals can be affected just as humans are.

     Agathokleous states that ground-level ozone is a hidden problem, but I would argue that is increasingly not the case. We can see smog as a haze for one. We can know where and when it is likely to occur, and we have air quality indices that we can pull up on our phones, often our weather app. Thus, measuring and monitoring devices can more or less inform us in real time of ozone dangers.  

     The Western U.S. urban areas are hotspots for ozone for several reasons including significant combustion sources, agriculture and industry, wildfires, and cooking emissions. Two sources, wildfires, and fertilizers, are hard to predict and abate. Their contributions are also difficult to quantify. Fertilizer emissions are NOx compounds emitted when nitrogen-based fertilizers form nitrous oxide compounds. Ian Faloona, in a January 2025 presentation to the American Meteorological Society wrote in his abstract:

Despite significant progress over the past few decades, several areas of the US still exceed the current ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS, a running 8-hour average of 70 ppb), including many parts of California, Texas, and the US Southwest. In fact, not only are O3 level improvements conspicuously absent over the last decade or so, in cities like Denver, Salt Lake City, and Phoenix, the trends appear to be increasing. We present here an argument using an observational-based analysis to quantitatively estimate the US anthropogenic, “background”, and wildfire contributions to the temporal and spatial distributions of maximum ozone concentrations throughout the southwestern US, including Texas & California. We find that the background ozone, which we further argue is becoming more and more impacted by soil and wildfire emissions of NOx (the most important ozone precursor), now dwarfs the traditional anthropogenic sources throughout the US Southwest, and precludes future attainment of the NAAQS. The upshot of this research is that the photochemical regime of our atmosphere is fundamentally shifting. Some of the consequences of such a shift include a call to reformulate our existing air pollution regulatory policies which might include an international effort to reduce background ozone concentrations, and/or the implementation of a standard based on the anthropogenic increment above the regionally varying US background. Finally, we point out that the predominant contribution of US background ozone across the southwestern US presents a profound challenge for current air quality modelling efforts because so many of the processes controlling it occur on small spatial scales, in statically stable environments, and evolve over hemisphere-wide distances. We therefore propose the development and use of a hierarchy of atmospheric chemistry models of varying complexity, including simplified conceptual models, to study these processes, similar to what is done in the field of geophysical fluid dynamics which includes ‘dynamical core’ and ‘aquaplanet’ models.

     According to Science News:

Faloona developed a method to derive how much of the ozone came from various sources, and found a fundamental shift. A steady decrease over the past several decades has now stalled. The vast majority of ozone — 64 to 70 ppb — still wafts in from the Pacific Ocean from sources beyond U.S. borders, as it has since the 1990s. Meanwhile, now-regulated automobile and industrial sources, which once accounted for as much as 15 to 20 ppb in mid-sized cities, now contribute under 6 ppb in most urban areas (excluding megapolises like Los Angeles).”

Wildfire and soil impacts boost ozone by another 1 to 7 ppb, he found, or up to 50 percent of the excess ozone. In a follow-up study focused on one air basin free of wildfire impacts, he found that some 2 ppb of NOx in the air came from agricultural fertilizers.”






I think one of the big takeaways, which I bolded out above, is the amount of these ozone precursors coming from other countries and “landing” on the West Coast. A 2017 article from NPR noted a paper in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics that since 1990 NOx emissions from India and China have tripled. Scientists concluded that Asian air pollution contributed as much as 65 percent of an increase in Western ozone in recent years. This increase in Asian emissions served to offset emissions reduction gains in the U.S. The U.S. as a whole reduced Nox emissions by 50% in recent years. Now, it is time for China and India to further reduce their NOx emissions. As they do, less will come from there and more will come from tropical countries in Asia where the production of ozone is more efficient. Again, the takeaway is that most Western U.S. ozone emissions are coming from Asia. Most of that is from NOx precursors, with about 15% from methane as a precursor. Thus, it would be accurate to say that combustion pollution from India and China is harming people in the Western U.S.






     A 2020 paper in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics modeled chemical transport to derive source-receptor relationships for ground-level ozone by separating sources into NOx and reactive carbon sources, including methane and other anthropogenic VOCs as well as biogenic VOCs. A section from the abstract also notes another important source of both NOx and VOCs – international shipping emissions. A few figures from the paper are given below that.

Using our novel source attribution technique, we show that emissions of NOx (oxides of nitrogen) from international shipping over the high seas play a disproportionately strong role in our model system regarding the hemispheric-scale response of surface ozone to changes in methane, as well as to the springtime maximum in intercontinental transport of ozone and its precursors. We recommend a renewed focus on the improvement of the representation of the chemistry of ship NOx emissions in current-generation models. We demonstrate the utility of ozone source attribution as a powerful model diagnostic tool and recommend that similar source attribution techniques become a standard part of future model intercomparison studies.”









     While there is not much we can do about Asian pollution wafting in, the focus has shifted to minor local sources that add to the problem. Wildfires are always a concern and are not very predictable, unfortunately.

     A 2025 paper in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics investigated urban ozone formation from volatile chemical products (VCPs) and cooking emissions, a subset of anthropogenic VOC emissions. The abstract noted significant contributions.

VOC sensitivity analyses show that anthropogenic VOCs (AVOC) enhance the mean daily maximum 8h average ozone in Pasadena by 13ppb, whereas biogenic VOCs (BVOCs) contribute 9.4ppb. Of the ozone influenced by AVOCs, VCPs represent the largest fraction at 45%, while cooking and fossil fuel VOCs are comparable at 26% and 29%, respectively.”





Thus, they concluded that in the LA Basin about a quarter of anthropogenic VOCs come from cooking. About 45% came from volatile chemical products. VCPs include paints, adhesives, pesticides, and personal care products. Fossil fuel sources made up 29%. 



References:

 

Ozone Pollution: An Insidious and Growing Threat to Biodiversity. Jim Robbins. Yale Environment 360. October 7, 2021. Ozone Pollution: An Insidious and Growing Threat to Biodiversity - Yale e360

New Study Links Ozone Pollution to ‘Green’ Tech—And Its Making Conservation Efforts Worse. Yolisa Mjamba. Animal Planet HQ. March 31, 2025. New Study Links Ozone Pollution to ‘Green’ Tech—And Its Making Conservation Efforts Worse

Trees: Unlikely Culprits in Ozone Pollution. Stephanie Pappas. Live Science. July 23, 2014. Trees: Unlikely Culprits in Ozone Pollution | Live Science

Ground-level ozone. Wikipedia. Ground-level ozone - Wikipedia

Researchers make stunning discovery that shatters previous conceptions of ozone levels: 'Detrimental impacts on human health'. Beth Newhart. The Cool Down. February 16, 2025. Researchers make stunning discovery that shatters previous conceptions of ozone levels: 'Detrimental impacts on human health'

In LA, cooking emissions rival fossil fuels as ozone pollution source. Science X staff. Phys.org. March 13, 2025. In LA, cooking emissions rival fossil fuels as ozone pollution source

Urban ozone formation and sensitivities to volatile chemical products, cooking emissions, and NOx upwind of and within two Los Angeles Basin cities. Chelsea E. Stockwell, Matthew M. Coggon, Rebecca H. Schwantes, Colin Harkins, Bert Verreyken, Congmeng Lyu, Qindan Zhu, Lu Xu, Jessica B. Gilman, Aaron Lamplugh, Jeff Peischl, Michael A. Robinson, Patrick R. Veres, Meng Li, Andrew W. Rollins, Kristen Zuraski, Sunil Baidar, Shang Liu, Toshihiro Kuwayama, Steven S. Brown, Brian C. McDonald, and Carsten Warneke. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. Volume 25, issue 2. ACP, 25, 1121–1143, 2025. ACP - Urban ozone formation and sensitivities to volatile chemical products, cooking emissions, and NOx upwind of and within two Los Angeles Basin cities

Ozone Pollution Grows, but It Can Be Fixed. Dave Levitan & Ensia. Scientific American, February 22, 2018. Ozone Pollution Grows, but It Can Be Fixed | Scientific American

Wildfires and farm fertilizer use are fueling ozone pollution. Rachel Berkowitz. Science News. March 20, 2025. Wildfires and farm fertilizer use are fueling ozone pollution

Attribution of ground-level ozone to anthropogenic and natural sources of nitrogen oxides and reactive carbon in a global chemical transport model. Tim Butler, Aurelia Lupascu, and Aditya Nalam. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. Volume 20, issue 17. ACP, 20, 10707–10731, 2020. ACP - Attribution of ground-level ozone to anthropogenic and natural sources of nitrogen oxides and reactive carbon in a global chemical transport model

Implementation of the 2015 Primary Ozone NAAQS: Issues Associated with Background Ozone. White Paper for Discussion, December 30, 2015. U.S. EPA. whitepaper-bgo3-final.pdf

Soils, Wildfires, and Background Ozone: The Rise of a New Air Quality Photochemical Regime. Ian C. Faloona. American Meteorological Society. 105th Annual Meeting. January 14, 2025. Soils, Wildfires, and Background Ozone: The Rise of a New Air Quality Photochemical Regime

Smog In Western U.S. Starts Out As Pollution In Asia, Researchers Say. Bill Chappell. NPR. March 3, 2017. Smog In Western U.S. Starts Out As Pollution In Asia, Study Says : The Two-Way : NPR

US surface ozone trends and extremes from 1980 to 2014: quantifying the roles of rising Asian emissions, domestic controls, wildfires, and climate. Meiyun Lin, Larry W. Horowitz, Richard Payton, Arlene M. Fiore, and Gail Tonnesen. European Geosciences Union. Atmospheric Physics and Chemistry. Volume 17, issue 4. ACP, 17, 2943–2970, 2017. ACP - US surface ozone trends and extremes from 1980 to 2014: quantifying the roles of rising Asian emissions, domestic controls, wildfires, and climate

Monday, April 7, 2025

The Genetic Literacy Project: A Useful and Functional Information Source for Unbiased Science and Issues in Agricultural and Human Genetics and Health

     This post is a shoutout to a long-favored site for sane, rational, and cutting-edge analysis of agricultural and human genetics, biology, human health, and environmental health. Articles vary but are always thoughtful and unbiased. The motto seems to be Science Not Ideology. Indeed, they often call out those from the left and those from the right if they are anti-science or pushing ideologies, catastrophism, or pseudoscience. Scientific integrity is important and smart.

     Subjects include genetic crop engineering and CRISPR, biodiversity issues, risk science, genetics and evolution, pesticide risks, medicine and public health, food and agricultural innovation, regulatory politics, and much more.

     Their webpage has the following description:

The Genetic Literacy Project fosters dialogue about the scientific, social and ethical implications of genetic technologies, human and agricultural. It respects the uncertainties inherent in science but is grounded in the conviction that genomic research is an engine of innovation and job creation. It is designed to help journalists, scientists and policymakers navigate the increasingly politicized arena of biotechnology, genetic engineering, CRISPR gene editing, medical genomics and related sciences, such as nanotechnology and epigenetics.

     The following is from their donation tab:

The Genetic Literacy Project is dedicated to disentangling ideology from science. Our mission is to improve the quality of the public discourse, encourage innovation and act as a hub for journalists, NGOs, industry, policy makers and the public on issues involving biotechnology, biomedicine, food and farming. The GLP is a non-profit arm of the 501(c)(3) Science Literacy Project.








     The work of the Genetic Literacy Project is important, especially as many countries still ban genetically modified products and foods, which have never been shown to have any negative health effects over the past several decades that they have been produced and consumed. Those countries need to be advised by science-based analysis and not by activists, often armed with pseudoscience or irrelevant cherry-picked data.





GLP hosts numerous invaluable resources, updated regularly and available for researchers journalists, policymakers, and the public, found nowhere else.

▪ GMO/Biotechnology FAQs ▪ Bees and Butterflies: Facts About Pesticides and Pollinators ▪ Sustainable Weed Management: A guide on using crop chemicals ▪ GMO Profiles: Who and what organizations challenge consensus science ▪ Anti-GMO Advocacy Funding Tracker ▪ Pesticides and Food ▪ Glyphosate: Global Regulatory Summary (one of more than 50 infographics developed by the GLP, accessible on our site and via search ▪ Global Gene Editing Regulation Tracker

There are also many useful infographics on the site.

 







     

References:


Genetic Literacy Project (webpage). Genetic Literacy Project | Science Not Ideology

Genetic Literacy Project. SCIENCE NOT IDEOLOGY. Policy & Performance Review, 2024. GLP-Policy-and-Performance-2024.pdf

Pesticides and Food: It’s not a black or white issue — Has pesticide use decreased since the introduction of GMO crops? Kayleen Schreiber, Marc Brazeau | December 1, 2023. Genetic Literacy Project. Pesticides and Food: It's not a black or white issue — Has pesticide use decreased since the introduction of GMO crops? - Genetic Literacy Project

Infographic: Crop biotech boosts farm productivity $225 billion, improving lives of millions globally. VTC News | December 9, 2020, Genetic Literacy Project. Infographic: Crop biotech boosts farm productivity $225 billion, improving lives of millions globally - Genetic Literacy Project

 

  As the title of this post points out, the U.S., China, and the EU countries make up about two-thirds of UN funding in a normal year. The...