Geologist Scott Tinker’s Op-Ed in The Hill addresses the
very real needs for energy access in developing countries and the needs for
energy security in all countries when considering how to respond to climate
concerns. In terms of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, the needs for accessible and
affordable energy that can be securely obtained are more immediate needs than the
need to mitigate future climate concerns.
While it is true that abject poverty has
been decreasing and continues to decrease in the world there is still poverty
that is less extreme. Tinker points out that 4 billion people live on $7 per
day. He also notes that the poorest nations are also without adequate energy. The
Russian invasion of Ukraine and its fallout with energy disruptions and sanctions
have forced Europe and other nations to reassess priorities. The former priority
of climate change mitigation was disrupted, and energy security became a more
immediate concern. As a result, more coal and biomass were burned, and more gas
was imported via LNG rather than via lower emissions pipelines. As global natural
gas prices skyrocketed countries like China and India turned back to coal as
did some European countries. Coal increased in 2022 as a share of electricity
in the U.S. as well.
Poorer
countries with domestic fossil resources have been encouraged (and coerced
through lack of available financing in some cases) to build out clean energy
like wind and solar and to forego fossil fuel projects. That is not sensible or
fair to those countries. Developing domestic resources is one ticket to needed
economic growth and quality of life. Tinker notes that job creation is the way
out of poverty and this economic growth requires more access to affordable
energy. The 2017 book, Climate Pragmatism (which I reviewed on this blog) demonstrated
how access to modern energy and modern electricity at abundant levels was key
to developing undeveloped economies. A world where people don’t have to
struggle for basic needs is in the best interest of all of us. Poverty
alleviation and energy availability in sufficient affordable quantities, go
hand in hand.
Tinker points
out that dense forms of energy like oil, gas, and coal are still needed as the
dominant transportation fuels and fuels of industries that require high-temperature
heat. He also points out that countries that burn coal and other fossils fuels
in manufacturing are often the same countries that provide us with low-cost
manufactured products. Thus, a fair amount of our CO2 emissions can be
considered to be outsourced.
Tinker writes:
“Is this dual challenge of energy security and climate
protection intractable? No. But it does require more than the oversimplified
and singular focus on a climate catastrophism narrative.’
“Wealthy nations should consider the relatively
limited number of affordable and timely technologies that can actually reduce
CO2 emissions and begin to turn us toward a “net-zero” situation in which the
amount of greenhouse gases removed from the atmosphere is equal to the amount
emitted. At the same time, they must put equal attention and investment into
helping the rest of the world emerge from poverty.”
Tinker also
calls for the U.S. (presumably the government) to support all U.S. energy
industries so that we can export our technologies to better enable energy
access and emission reductions technology to countries with needs. That means supporting
the fossil industries as well as lower carbon energy industries.
He notes that
China controls global supply chains for clean energy and that that is good for
China and the countries that need the infrastructure but not so good for the
rights of miners, the environment, or energy security in the U.S. He phrases
his proposal to export U.S expertise in energy development and emissions
control as “net-zero poverty to accelerate net-zero emissions.”
The U.S. oil
and gas industry has come a long way with efficiency and emissions reduction, with natural gas amounts certified as responsibly sourced approaching
half of U.S. supply. Most other sectors of the U.S. oil and gas industry have
adopted strong emissions reduction plans, techniques, and monitoring. We could
export the expertise in these areas to places where emissions are unnecessarily
high in countries like Turkmenistan and Libya where methane emissions are high, or
Nigeria where flared gas is high. Exporting gas as LNG, while more emissions
intense than pipelined gas, is still far less emissions intense than mining and
burning coal. As EQT CEO Toby Rice might argue: In the U.S. we can export certified
low emissions gas to replace coal as the most economic way to reduce emissions
fast globally. Of course, in order to accelerate that exporting of LNG there will
need to be more export terminals and trains, more pipelines, and more wells. In
addition, there is clear a need for permit reform and regulatory certainty for energy
projects. That is one kind of support than can be offered to all energy industries.
References:
World’s
road out of poverty is paved by energy — and plenty of it. Scott Tinker. The
Hill. April 7, 2023. World’s
road out of poverty is paved by energy — and plenty of it | The Hill
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