Thursday, October 2, 2025

Solar is a Doubled-Edged Sword in Pakistan as it Helps Farmers but Raises Power Prices and Accelerates Groundwater Depletion

     Solar-powered irrigation pumps are becoming a successful trend in Pakistan. One old farmer in the Punjab region referred to it as a “societal revolution” not seen since Pakistan built its highway system about four decades ago. Solar generation has grown manyfold in Pakistan, now accounting for nearly one-half of grid power. The boom was triggered by lower solar panel costs from Chinese imports and government subsidies. It has allowed many Pakistani households to go off-grid completely, although many stay grid-tied to take advantage of net metering, where they can sell their excess power back to the grid. The Pakistani power grid is aging, overburdened, and costly. Electricity prices doubled between 2021 and 2024, before the government stepped in to stabilize them.

“Elsewhere in the sane world as in Pakistan, ordinary people have taken matters into their own hands, putting up rooftop solar power on individual homes now equal to one-half of the country’s electric grid. The biggest solar adopters are farmers, using solar to replace diesel fuel to power field generators for water irrigation. As a result, Pakistan used 35% less diesel fuel last year than the year before.

     An emerging issue is that while wealthy consumers tend to go solar, poorer residents must absorb a higher percentage of the higher power costs. After decades of power shortages, Pakistan now has an excess of power plants, after building several new coal-fired plants since 2010. The solar boom in Pakistan appears to be mainly a rooftop solar and solar irrigation boom. Generous subsidies, some at 60%, are fueling the boom. Apparently, it is simply a better deal than connecting to the grid, which, for rural customers, means additional costs like purchasing transformers.

     Among those connected to the grid, the high power costs force some people to choose between food and power. High temperatures in the country make some kind of cooling, whether via fans or air conditioners, very desirable. Pakistan’s net metering policy, where it pays grid-tied solar customers for their excess power, has led to financial losses due to too much excess power. The situation also shows an inherent flaw of availability in solar subsidization – that the wealthy, those who can afford the upfront costs, will benefit the most. That has definitely been the case in Pakistan as elsewhere. In a sense, it exacerbates inequality by extending opportunities to the wealthy that the poor cannot afford.

     Proposed solutions include promoting and subsidizing battery systems, more government investment in solar, limits on the sizes of solar systems, and grid modernization.

     Another trend among Pakistani farmers is solar-powered tube wells, where solar energy powers the well pump. This is creating more opportunities for farmers. It has resulted in 30% more rice farming and 10% less maize farming from 2023 to 2025. In the drought-prone region of the Punjab, there are dried riverbeds. Growing less water-intensive crops, such as rice, would be better since drops in the groundwater table have been associated with the solar-powered tube well boom. These tube wells do not require permits or registration, so it is unknown how many there are. There must be quite a few since it is expected that the amount of grid electricity consumed by the agricultural sector is expected to drop by 45% from 2023 through 2025. An advisor to Pakistan’s energy minister, Amar Habib, renewables analyst Syed Faizan Ali Shah, and Reuters calculated that 400,000 tube wells were converted from grid power or diesel to solar, and 250,000 new ones were drilled since 2023, suggesting a total of 650,000 tube wells.







     According to Reuters:

The water table has shrunk below 60 feet - a level designated as critical by the provincial irrigation department - across 6.6% of Punjab as of 2024, according to maps published for internal use by water authorities and seen by Reuters. That marks an increase of some 25% between 2020 and 2024, while the deepest pockets - with water levels beyond 80 feet - more than doubled in size during the same period.”




     Reuters also noted that Pakistan’s energy minister, Awais Leghari, disagreed that solar pumping was depleting groundwater, citing the fact that the same amount of land was under cultivation. However, he did not respond when asked about the growth of rice farming. Low wheat prices have stressed farmers in the region and put pressure on them to grow more profitable crops. Farmers are also banding together to purchase solar panels in a community solar type of approach.

"Farmers share, rent and move panels like tractors," said Lahore-based solar-panel merchant Shahab Qureshi. "They sell land, jewellery, or take loans just to get it. Within five to six months, your return on investment is fulfilled."

     Punjab is piloting about 40 groundwater recharge projects, which have increased in importance since India signaled it would restrict the sharing of Indus River water earlier this year. Farmers are also hoping to increase surface water irrigation projects and utilize older infrastructure, such as old siphon tunnels, to access more water and lessen the load on groundwater resources. What Pakistan does not have is a detailed mapping of water wells and quantitative data on water withdrawals. For sure, groundwater depletion in the region is a problem to be monitored and mitigated.

   

References:

 

How Pakistan’s solar energy boom led to higher power bills for the poor. Rick Noack and Shaiq Hussain. Washington Post. August 24, 2025. How Pakistan’s solar energy boom led to higher power bills for the poor

Clean Solar Outshines Filthy Oil. Robert Hunziker. Z Network. September 2, 2025.  Clean Solar Outshines Filthy Oil

Solar-powered farming is digging Pakistan into a water catastrophe. Ariba Shahid. Reuters. October 1, 2025. Solar-powered farming is digging Pakistan into a water catastrophe

 

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